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17:07 Roscommon Mon 12 Oct 2026 1m4f46y Soft 19 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Royal Belief silks

Royal Belief

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 19%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Royal Belief (SR:58, 4/1, 9-12) carries the joint-highest SR in the field and is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ for soft ground — a decisive edge in a 1m4f handicap on an October Roscommon surface. The MarkMv:-42 indicates a horse running off a mark dramatically lower than its last win, which is the most significant class/mark signal in the race. Colin Keane (16% career strike rate from 2,377 runners) is a top booking and rarely takes rides without confidence. The 173-day absence and a 9% market drift are the two negatives to flag, but the going fitness advantage and the enormous drop in mark over the rest of the field make Royal Belief the likeliest winner. Each-way alternative: Ballaghkeen. Main danger: Ballaghkeen — Ballaghkeen (SR:56, 5/1, 10-0) last ran just 5 days ago finishing 1st, is trained by J S Bolger with Shane Foley booked, and the form figure '1' is the most recent on the card — though the 11% market drift and top-weight burden of 10-0 on soft ground are concerns, a horse in form off a consecutive run could easily overhaul Royal Belief's return from a 173-day absence.

Verify· #23049

Full result

Winner: Inver Bay (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Inver Bay silks Inver Bay Aidan Anthony Howard · Robbie Colgan 15/2
  2. 2 Rio Doce silks Rio Doce John Andrew Kinsella 33/1
  3. 3 Acanto silks Acanto Fox #3 Noel Meade · Adam Caffrey 12/1
  4. 4 Anightaway silks Anightaway Sean Davis · Jimmy Dalton(7) 7/1
  5. 5 Piatra Neamt silks Piatra Neamt S M Duffy · Patrick McGettigan(5) 11/1
  6. 6 Royal Belief silks Royal Belief Fox #1 Cian Collins · Colin Keane 5/1
  7. 7 Zesty Belle silks Zesty Belle M O Quigley · Seamie Heffernan 33/1
  8. 8 Burlington House silks Burlington House Oliver McKiernan · Diego Lima 33/1
  9. 9 Ballaghkeen silks Ballaghkeen Fox #2 J S Bolger · Shane Foley 4/1
  10. 10 Among The Pines silks Among The Pines Kieran Callaghan · Rory Mulligan(5) 10/1
  11. 11 Queen Of Astolat silks Queen Of Astolat Denis Gerard Hogan · J M Sheridan 11/1
  12. 12 Duleek Street silks Duleek Street John McConnell · Reese Holohan(5) 16/1
  13. 13 Thegooseiscooked silks Thegooseiscooked Gerard Keane · Jack Kearney(3) 20/1
  14. 14 James Henry silks James Henry Eoin Christopher McCarthy · Julian Pietropaolo(7) 20/1
  15. 15 Autocrat silks Autocrat P Sweeney · Luke McAteer 9/1
  16. 16 Vervain silks Vervain David Harry Kelly · W. J. Lee 14/1
  17. — Deluca Chop silks Deluca Chop S M Duffy · Paddy Harnett(3) SP
  18. — Calamint silks Calamint Adrian Murray 12/1
  19. — Walls Cross silks Walls Cross Timothy Doyle 33/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Royal Belief silks Royal Belief 4/1 6TH
  2. 2 Ballaghkeen silks Ballaghkeen 5/1 9TH
  3. 3 Acanto silks Acanto 15/2 🥉 3RD