← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Roscommon Rated Race
Mr Fox’s call
Minella Rockett
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Minella Rockett (SR 97, 7/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by 17 points over the next best, and a form line of 45112 shows a progressive 3yo who has won two of its last three starts. The market has backed it in 11% from opening, suggesting confident stable support, and the 9-12 weight is shared with Back Straight, so there is no meaningful lbs disadvantage. While MarkMv:+5 means it runs off a higher mark than last win, the SR gap is wide enough that rivals would need significant improvement to bridge it. Back Straight, the only horse with a shorter implied chance at 10/3, has drifted a striking 37% since opening — that is a significant market negative that tilts firmly toward Minella Rockett. Each-way alternative: Royal Bones. Main danger: Royal Bones — Royal Bones (SR 80, 6/1) has been backed in 16% from opening, carries a light 8-11, and is trained by Mrs Harrington whose yard knows how to place horses — if Minella Rockett's MarkMv:+5 rise proves costly, Royal Bones is the most likely beneficiary.
Full result
Winner: Ryefield Dasher (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ryefield Dasher Fox #3 4/1
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2
Royal Bones Fox #2 7/1
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3
Back Straight 11/4
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4
Minella Rockett Fox #1 7/4
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5
Retracement 6/1
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God Of Power 13/2
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Neo Smart 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Minella Rockett 7/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Royal Bones 6/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Ryefield Dasher 9/1 SP 3/1 🏆 WON