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Guinness Handicap

14:00 Roscommon Mon 12 Oct 2026 7f111y Soft 16 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Contrary To Law silks

Contrary To Law

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 SP 7/2F Est. 16%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Contrary To Law (SR:79, 11/2) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and does so off just 9-9, giving a meaningful weight advantage over heavier-loaded rivals like La La Lucrative (9-5 but SR:76) and Save The Sixes (9-11, SR:75). The Murtagh yard has two runners and the signals point here as the stable's number one — Ben Coen is the stronger booking over Seamie Heffernan on Nakamura, and Contrary To Law has shown a gentle market move in (Mkt:in6%) while Nakamura has drifted (Mkt:out12%). The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:? are mild negatives but offset by the class edge and connections confidence; a mark that has risen only 4lb since last win (MarkMv:+4) leaves the horse competitive. Each-way alternative: Earls. Main danger: La La Lucrative — La La Lucrative (SR:76, 9/2) is the market favourite with an excellent course record (W2P2 at Roscommon) and while the MarkMv:+10 is a concern, course specialists on a track like Roscommon often overcome a rising mark.

Verify· #22950

Full result

Winner: Contrary To Law (IRE) at SP 7/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Contrary To Law silks Contrary To Law Fox #1 J. P. Murtagh · Ben Coen 4/1
  2. 2 La La Lucrative silks La La Lucrative Fox #3 Matthew J Smith · Robbie Colgan 5/1
  3. 3 Mercurial silks Mercurial John J Nallen · Jimmy Dalton(7) 6/1
  4. 4 Minaun View silks Minaun View Adrian McGuinness · Patrick McGettigan(5) 10/1
  5. 5 She's Too Kool silks She's Too Kool Ms Claire O'Connell · Adam Browne-Souza(7) 14/1
  6. 6 Gypsy Queen silks Gypsy Queen W. McCreery · W. J. Lee 16/1
  7. 7 Java Wood silks Java Wood K Smith · Reese Holohan(5) 14/1
  8. 8 Solomon silks Solomon P Sweeney · Nicola Burns(5) 50/1
  9. 9 Save The Sixes silks Save The Sixes Fox #2 Mrs J. Harrington · Shane Foley 6/1
  10. 10 Selective Power silks Selective Power Thomas Coyle · James Ryan 8/1
  11. 11 Earls silks Earls Fox #4 Gavin Cromwell · Jack Kearney(3) 11/1
  12. 12 Girl Bear silks Girl Bear Jack Foley · Luke McAteer 25/1
  13. 13 Nakamura silks Nakamura J. P. Murtagh · Seamie Heffernan 16/1
  14. 14 Breaking Dawn silks Breaking Dawn M D O'Callaghan · Colin Keane 20/1
  15. — Final Boss silks Final Boss Matthew J Smith · Leigh Roche 50/1
  16. — Tyraxes silks Tyraxes Denis Gerard Hogan SP

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Contrary To Law silks Contrary To Law 11/2 SP 7/2F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Save The Sixes silks Save The Sixes 11/2 9TH
  3. 3 La La Lucrative silks La La Lucrative 9/2 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Earls silks Earls 10/1 11TH