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17:30 Newcastle (AW) Mon 12 Oct 2026 6f Class 4 Good 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Moofeed silks

Moofeed

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 11/8 Est. 27%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Moofeed (SR:152, 10/3) carries the highest ability rating in the field by a clear margin — 8 points ahead of Benbecula and 10 ahead of Val de Grey — and is the only runner showing meaningful market confidence, steaming in 27% since opening. Daniel Tudhope (18% strike rate, 1,949 career rides) is a high-quality booking that reinforces the stable's intent. Archie Watson's 15% trainer strike rate is solid, and while Moofeed's sole run produced a sixth, the sharp market move suggests connections believe that run understated the horse's ability. The favourite Great Balls O'Fire (SR:91) is a 8/13 shot but carries a Saturday Rating 61 points below Moofeed — that is a cavernous SR gap, and a ClassMv:↓3 drop into this novice stakes cannot paper over such a stark ability deficit; the short price looks a significant overreaction to the class drop rather than a reflection of genuine superiority. Each-way alternative: Benbecula. Main danger: Benbecula — Benbecula carries the second-highest SR in the field (144), is Kevin Ryan's Stable:1 runner, and while the 24% drift is a concern, Kevin Stott's booking and a same-class record mean it cannot be entirely dismissed at 8/1.

Verify· #23055

Full result

Winner: Moofeed (IRE) at SP 11/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Moofeed silks Moofeed Fox #1 Archie Watson · Daniel Tudhope 6/5
  2. 2 Great Balls O'Fire silks Great Balls O'Fire Richard Spencer · Saffie Osborne 6/5
  3. 3 Val de Grey silks Val de Grey Fox #3 Simon Waugh · Oisin Orr 15/2
  4. 4 Benbecula silks Benbecula Fox #2 Kevin Ryan · Kevin Stott 10/1
  5. 5 Perfect Gal silks Perfect Gal Rebecca Menzies · P. J. McDonald 40/1
  6. 6 Jaydee's Dream silks Jaydee's Dream Ann Duffield · David Egan 200/1
  7. 7 Veloxian silks Veloxian Grant Tuer · Oliver Stammers 250/1
  8. 8 Lord Bishop silks Lord Bishop Brian Ellison · Connor Beasley 250/1
  9. 9 Big Richard silks Big Richard Ivan Furtado · Jason Hart 66/1
  10. 10 Powerful Force silks Powerful Force Kevin Ryan · Tom Eaves 22/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Moofeed silks Moofeed 10/3 SP 11/8 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Benbecula silks Benbecula 8/1 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Val de Grey silks Val de Grey 10/1 🥉 3RD