← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Indhaar
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 Est. 44%
Mr Fox says
Indhaar (SR 156, 5/6) leads the field in ability and arrives with the strongest market confidence — a 21% inward move to odds-on suggests William Haggas's yard is very happy with this horse ahead of today. Haggas operates at a 23% career strike rate with 2,121 runners, the best trainer stat in this field, and the combination of top SR, strong connections, and significant market support is compelling. The single Form:3 on debut is not a red flag in a novice context — a third on first appearance for a Haggas three-year-old at this trip is a springboard run, and the 126-day gap allows for a purposeful preparation. Ella Beach (SR 155, 11/4) is the only horse that can match Indhaar on SR, but Indhaar's tighter price, superior trainer strike rate, and sharper market move give it the edge. Each-way alternative: Ella Beach. Main danger: Ella Beach — Ella Beach (SR 155, 11/4) matches Indhaar almost identically on ability, won on debut (Form:1), and David O'Meara with Daniel Tudhope is a sharp northern combination that knows how to place a horse to win first time out in novice company.
Full result
Winner: Tropbien (GB) at SP 6/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tropbien 2/1
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2
Indhaar Fox #1 evn
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3
Ella Beach Fox #2 4/1
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4
Petworth Fox #3 14/1
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5
Medran 250/1
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6
Brittunculi 250/1
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Mac's Max 250/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3