← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Musselburgh Members Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Kelpie Grey
MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 37%
Mr Fox says
Kelpie Grey (SR 69, 15/8) is the top-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a favourable 9-6, with a MarkMv:-22 indicating he is running off a mark substantially below his last winning mark — a significant handicap advantage in Class 6. The market has responded with a 9% shortening (Mkt:in9%), Paul Mulrennan booked at 14% career strike rate, and the horse has course form (W2P3 at Musselburgh). The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but the -22 mark drop and superior SR suggest he can overcome soft-ground reservations in this grade. Jim Goldie operates at 14% overall and is a proven handler of this type. Each-way alternative: Monhammer. Main danger: Jkr Cobbler — Jkr Cobbler (SR 61, 7/1) has steamed in 31% in the market — the biggest mover in the race — carries a GoingFit:+ edge that is directly relevant today on Good to Soft, and at 9-7 is lightly weighted relative to the field.
Full result
Winner: Jkr Cobbler (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Jkr Cobbler Fox #3 17/2
-
2
Real Jack 9/1
-
3
Keep Me Stable 7/1
-
4
Willowinghurn 14/1
-
5
Archangel Josepi 33/1
-
6
Rwenearlytheredad 5/1
-
7
Monhammer Fox #2 4/1
-
8
Ramon di Loria 16/1
-
9
Kelpie Grey Fox #1 15/8
-
10
Pallas Lord 50/1
-
11
Mrbluesky 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Kelpie Grey 15/8 9TH
-
2
Monhammer 4/1 7TH
-
3
Jkr Cobbler 7/1 SP 13/2 🏆 WON