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Mr Fox’s call
Yorkshire
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 14%
Mr Fox says
Yorkshire (SR:95, 13/2) ties for the top SR in the field alongside Organ, but carries 9-9 versus Organ's 9-4 — that 5lb pull is significant on an AW mile. Critically, Yorkshire has a confirmed GoingFit:+ for today's good to soft conditions, while Organ's GoingFit:? leaves a real unknown stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1). Yorkshire also holds a course win at Kempton (Course:W1P1), has been backed from its opening price (Mkt:in9%), and the MarkMv:-5 means the handicapper has handed back ground. Billy Loughnane (18% career SR) is a strong booking, and Edward Bethell's 17% strike rate is competitive at this level. The recent form 092307 shows inconsistency but the tongue-tie (HG:t) and the drop back in mark suggest connections are targeting a return to form today. Each-way alternative: Aqpan. Main danger: Organ — Organ (SR:95, 11/4 favourite, Mkt:in30%) shares the top SR, carries a favourable 9-4, and connections have backed it firmly — the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) and unproven going (GoingFit:?) are the only reasons to oppose it, and the market clearly believes those concerns are manageable.
Full result
Winner: Organ (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Organ Fox #2 4/1
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2
Aqpan Fox #3 4/1
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3
I'm Workin On It 12/1
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4
Fantastic Fox 16/1
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5
Star Anthem Fox #4 11/1
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6
Spell Master 8/1
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7
Caromb 28/1
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8
Crack On Boys 18/1
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9
Witch Hunter 20/1
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10
Yorkshire Fox #1 6/1
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11
First Principle 8/1
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12
Racingbreaks Ryder 18/1
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13
Archer Royal 15/2
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14
One More 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Yorkshire 13/2 10TH
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2
Organ 11/4 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
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3
Aqpan 11/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Star Anthem 10/1 5TH