← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Friends Of Castlemagner LGFA Rated Novice Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Moylussa
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Moylussa (SR 119, 13/8) is the class leader among the realistic contenders and carries a favourable 11-6 with GoingFit:+ confirming suitability for today's good ground — the only horse in the field with a confirmed positive going record. The 27% market support (Mkt:in27%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race and comes with a top-class jockey booking in Darragh O'Keeffe (13%, 1929 career runners), who would not be taking a random low-grade novice ride without reason. The form string 7-3326 shows progressive improvement — the 3326 sequence on the right suggests the horse is placing consistently and narrowing the gap. At 13/8 it is not a generous price, but the combination of SR leadership over realistic rivals, confirmed going preference, strong money, and elite jockey makes it the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Pralognan. Main danger: Seven Towers — Despite the 35% market drift, Seven Towers carries the highest SR in the field at 154 — a significant ability edge — and GoingFit:+ means the ground is no obstacle; if the drift is noise rather than information, raw class could dominate.
Full result
Winner: Claude (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Claude 10/1
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2
Moylussa Fox #1 evn
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3
Ned In The Park 9/2
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4
Chosen Shant 25/1
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5
Phoenix Arizona Fox #2 5/1
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Nobody 50/1
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Pralognan Fox #3 11/2
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Seven Towers Fox #4 5/1
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Rosenborg -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Moylussa 13/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Phoenix Arizona 11/2 5TH
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3
Pralognan 6/1
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4
Seven Towers 11/2