← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Inkerman London Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Cerulean Bay
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Cerulean Bay (SR:95, 6/1) combines the strongest course record in the field (W2P3 at Goodwood) with a 21% market shortening — the most significant steam of any runner — and proven ability on Good to Soft going (GoingFit:+). Carrying 10-0 is a concern in a competitive Class 2 handicap, but Cieren Fallon (18% strike rate, 1,893 career runners) is a high-quality booking and David O'Meara (13%, 2,923 runners) is a dependable handler in these conditions. The form string 842905 looks patchy but the market move of 21% inward is hard to dismiss at a track where this horse has won twice before — Goodwood specialists at Goodwood on their preferred going are a significant positive combination. The weight concedes ground to the lighter-weighted younger horses but the course-specific edge and money coming is sufficient to tip the balance. Each-way alternative: Naval Light. Main danger: Storming Point — Storming Point (SR:91, 15/2) has steamed in 27% — the second-largest market move in the race — carries only 8-7 (a full 7lb less than Cerulean Bay), and James Doyle's booking with 51 days freshness may signal a yard targeting this race specifically after a prep break.
Full result
Winner: Naval Light (GB) at SP 3/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Naval Light Fox #2 6/1
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2
Eternal Force 15/2
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3
Supido 25/1
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4
Urban Lion 25/1
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5
Sword Maker 6/1
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6
Storming Point Fox #3 15/2
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7
Wechaad Fox #4 4/1
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8
Cerulean Bay Fox #1 5/1
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9
Al Mubhir 40/1
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10
Brian 11/1
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11
Balmacara 40/1
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12
Goodwood Galaxy 28/1
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13
Crazee Icon 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Cerulean Bay 6/1 8TH
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2
Naval Light 6/1 SP 3/1J 🏆 WON
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3
Storming Point 15/2 6TH
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4
Wechaad 10/3 7TH