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Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Norn Iron
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Norn Iron (SR 129, 11/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by at least 11 points over Stream of Stars (SR 118), and that SR advantage is the clearest ability edge in the race. The market has backed this view emphatically — a 14% inward move signals informed money. Despite carrying top-weight of 12-0, the SR gap over rivals is wide enough that the weight burden is manageable, and trainer Harry Derham (20% strike rate from 227 runners) is a competent handler. The form string 23112- shows consistency at a high level before last season's break, and coming back fresh is no barrier for this type. The only concern is the dual DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags meaning no confirmed suitability to today's trip or going — but the sheer class differential makes Norn Iron the call. Each-way alternative: Gower Prince. Main danger: Welsh Charger — Welsh Charger (SR 113, 5/1) has steamed in 45% in the market — the biggest move in the field — and carries a favourable 11-7, making him the horse connections most believe has a live each-way or winning chance despite modest recent form figures.
Full result
Winner: Gower Prince (GB) at SP 5/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gower Prince Fox #2 4/1
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2
Haas Boy Fox #4 8/1
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3
Stream of Stars 6/1
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4
Dr T J Eckleburg 14/1
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5
No Ordinary Joe 22/1
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6
Faivoir 11/1
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7
Glengouly 14/1
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8
Welsh Charger Fox #3 4/1
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—
Norn Iron Fox #1 3/1
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Ooh Betty -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Norn Iron 11/4
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2
Gower Prince 7/2 SP 5/2F 🏆 WON
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3
Welsh Charger 5/1 8TH
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4
Haas Boy 15/2 🥈 2ND