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Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

15:47 Chepstow Sun 11 Oct 2026 2m7f131y Class 2 Good to Soft 12 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Leader Crik silks

Leader Crik

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%

8TH

Mr Fox says

Leader Crik (SR:123, 5/2) is the market's clear choice and the data supports that confidence: a 4-star AI probability rating, the lowest weight among the top-SR horses at 11-8, and a form string of '261-' that shows progressive improvement — the dash indicating a most recent run that requires context but the prior sequence is solid for a 5-year-old. As the youngest horse in the field by two years, Leader Crik carries the upside of an unexposed profile at 2m7f131y; the DistFit:? signals unproven stamina but not failure, and at five years old this trip may well suit better than shorter. The Twiston-Davies yard (13%) with Sam Twiston-Davies (17%) is a trusted combination in Welsh National Hunt racing, and at 5/2 the market is backing a progressive type stepping into Class 2 with untapped potential. Each-way alternative: Matty's Getaway. Main danger: Service Minimum — Service Minimum (SR:124, 4/1) has the highest SR in the field, was trained by the in-form Dan Skelton (22%) with Harry Skelton (26%) aboard, showed a recent '711-71' including back-to-back wins, and ran just 23 days ago confirming peak fitness — the class rise (↑1) and MarkMv:+6 are the only hesitations, but Skelton runners that carry those signals still win at a high rate.

Verify· #22854

Full result

Winner: Matty's Getaway (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Matty's Getaway silks Matty's Getaway Fox #2 Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · Ciaran Gethings 10/3
  2. 2 Thank You Ma'am silks Thank You Ma'am Georgina Nicholls · Lorcan Murtagh 40/1
  3. 3 Time To Bite silks Time To Bite Chris Honour · Bryan Carver 18/1
  4. 4 King of The Lake silks King of The Lake Jeremy Scott · Chad Bament(5) 17/2
  5. 5 Tune In A Box silks Tune In A Box Tom Lacey · Stan Sheppard 13/2
  6. 6 Jury's In silks Jury's In Fox #4 Stuart Edmunds · Charlie Hammond 7/2
  7. 7 Deep Cave silks Deep Cave Christian Williams · Jack Tudor 22/1
  8. 8 Leader Crik silks Leader Crik Fox #1 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · Sam Twiston-Davies 9/4
  9. 9 Alien Storm silks Alien Storm Charlie Longsdon · David Bass 28/1
  10. — Service Minimum silks Service Minimum Fox #3 Dan Skelton · Harry Skelton 4/1
  11. — Oakley silks Oakley Mrs C. Williams · Conor Ring 22/1
  12. — Jalisco Star silks Jalisco Star Laura Horsfall · Sean Bowen 14/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Leader Crik silks Leader Crik 5/2 8TH
  2. 2 Matty's Getaway silks Matty's Getaway 4/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Service Minimum silks Service Minimum 4/1
  4. 4 Jury's In silks Jury's In 7/1 6TH