← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Granlahan
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 10/11F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Granlahan (SR:100, 9/4) is the clear ability standout in this field, sitting 8 points clear of the next-best Pahlavi (SR:92) and carrying a favourable 10-13, a full stone lighter than the three 12-0 top-weights. The GoingFit:+ is the decisive edge — confirmed effectiveness on good ground in a race where every other realistic contender shows GoingFit:- or GoingFit:~. The Mkt:in16% steam from a 9/4 price speaks to informed confidence, and Darragh O'Keeffe (13% career strike rate, 1925 runners) is the best jockey booking in the field. The consistent form string 624222 shows a horse that never falls out of contention; in a 16-runner handicap hurdle with a weak overall SR ceiling, that reliability is premium. Each-way alternative: Chesterbaylad. Main danger: Pahlavi — Pahlavi (SR:92, 9/2) ran just one day ago — suggesting connections believe the horse is at peak fitness — and posted a last-out win (form P56341) with a MarkMv:= meaning no upward handicap hike to overcome, and GoingFit:~ gives it a workable ground profile even if connections' market drift of 13% is a concern.
Full result
Winner: Granlahan (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Granlahan Fox #1 11/10
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2
Liceo 12/1
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3
Champagne Dawn Fox #4 10/1
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4
Vairue 33/1
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5
Crypto Crash 18/1
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6
Jurality 12/1
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7
Ancient Myth 25/1
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8
Zaryagle 50/1
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9
Certamen 12/1
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10
Chesterbaylad Fox #3 10/1
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11
Undertheinfluence 25/1
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12
Wee Fallon 28/1
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13
Fairy Meadow 33/1
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14
Scary Askari 20/1
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—
Hesasmoothoperator 11/2
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—
Pahlavi Fox #2 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Granlahan 9/4 SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Pahlavi 9/2
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3
Chesterbaylad 8/1 10TH
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4
Champagne Dawn 9/1 🥉 3RD