← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
McCarthy Construction Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Only One Blue
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Only One Blue (SR:107, 9/2) drops three class tiers — the most significant class relief in the field — and carries a manageable 11-4, giving her a clear weight-for-SR edge over top-weight Onefournine (SR:113, 12-0). The market has shortened 6% from opening, suggesting quiet but real confidence from connections. Her form string 23324- shows consistent placed efforts and while the dash (last run) is unexplained, the class drop from a higher level where she was placing regularly makes her the most likely beneficiary today. Max Comley's 12% strike rate is modest but the Freddie Mitchell booking at a course where she has placed before adds structure to the case. Each-way alternative: Kosasiempre. Main danger: Kosasiempre — Kosasiempre (SR:116, 5/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries only 11-6, and while the going and distance flags are unknown, Stuart Edmunds runs at a 16% strike rate and the form string 71431- contains a recent win — she is capable of going close if firing on the day.
Full result
Winner: Onefournine (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Onefournine Fox #3 7/2
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2
Kosasiempre Fox #2 13/2
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3
Miss Cynthia 5/1
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4
Miss Carbo 22/1
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5
Where's Cato 33/1
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6
Jammy Jay 9/2
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7
Only One Blue Fox #1 5/1
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8
Flash Bardot Fox #4 11/2
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9
Love Sonnet 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Only One Blue 9/2 7TH
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2
Kosasiempre 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Onefournine 7/2 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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4
Flash Bardot 15/2 8TH