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Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Touch The Moon
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Touch The Moon (SR:93, 3/1, 9-7) combines the strongest cluster of signals in this small field. The market has steamed in 17% — the sharpest move in the race — confirming strong confidence from those closest to the horse. A confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good surface and a proven DistFit:+ over 1m4f provide genuine course-and-conditions credentials. The MarkMv:+2 is modest, indicating connections haven't been punished by the handicapper, and at 9-7 the horse carries 6lb less than Fixation and 7lb less than Poetic Sound — a meaningful weight advantage on what is a compact five-runner field. Trainer William Durkan strikes at 14% and Chris Hayes at 10%, both solid figures. Each-way alternative: Fixation. Main danger: Fixation — Fixation (SR:97, highest in the field) holds the most raw ability, has Course:W1P2 at Dundalk, and Ben Coen is a high-quality booking — despite the 10% drift and a MarkMv:+7 burden, if the pace suits at 7/4 the class edge could overpower the weight and mark concerns.
Full result
Winner: Fixation (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fixation Fox #2 7/4
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2
Quatre Bras Fox #3 9/2
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3
Poetic Sound 6/1
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4
Tribal Star 9/2
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5
Touch The Moon Fox #1 10/3
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Touch The Moon 3/1 5TH
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2
Fixation 7/4 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Quatre Bras 4/1 🥈 2ND