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Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Saint Jeannais
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 SP 5/6F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Saint Jeannais (SR:158, 5/6) is in a different ability class to every other runner — a 13-point gap over the next-best Hive Runner (SR:145) and a 31-point gap over the market's second choice Dutch Corner (SR:121). The form string 14-1 shows a win last time out and a strong recent profile, and the market has moved in 12% confirming stable confidence and money behind the selection. The Twiston-Davies yard operates at 13% strike rate with Sam aboard at 17%, solid connections for a yard that sends horses ready to run. While DistFit and GoingFit are marked '?' (novice hurdler with limited sample), the SR dominance here is so pronounced that the absence of confirmed distance/going preference is a minor concern against this calibre of opposition at Class 4 level. Each-way alternative: Dutch Corner. Main danger: Hive Runner — Hive Runner (SR:145) has a form string of 1- showing a win on debut, is from the in-form Tom Lacey yard (19% strike rate), and at 4 years old with a 7lb weight advantage over Saint Jeannais could outrun a 10/1 price if the novice hurdling experience gap matters early in the race.
Full result
Winner: Saint Jeannais (FR) at SP 5/6F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Saint Jeannais Fox #1 8/13
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2
Dutch Corner Fox #3 2/1
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3
Hive Runner Fox #2 10/1
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4
Sharu 28/1
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5
Cheap Sandwiches 14/1
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6
Morissette 66/1
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7
Look Don't Stare 300/1
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8
Detroit Bay 250/1
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9
Short Sell 66/1
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—
Shirleynightingale 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Saint Jeannais 5/6 SP 5/6F 🏆 WON
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2
Hive Runner 10/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Dutch Corner 5/4 🥈 2ND