← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Tutu Twist
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Tutu Twist leads the field on SR at 158 — a clear 5-point edge over Blue Trix and a massive gap to the rest — and at 6/4 the market has installed her favourite for good reason: Henry de Bromhead's 16% yard strike rate is solid, and Darragh O'Keeffe retains the ride with no sign of market drift, unlike both Mullins runners of note. Her form string of 4233-2 shows consistent placing behaviour rather than winning habit, but this is a weak 7-runner mares' maiden where the SR advantage is commanding. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a positive intervention signal suggesting connections are trying to unlock improvement, and on good ground with no GoingFit concern logged, there is no obvious physical reason to oppose her. Each-way alternative: Ronnie's Rascal. Main danger: Blue Trix — Blue Trix (SR:153) carries the Mullins/Townend combination — a 26% yard and 38% jockey — and despite drifting 10% her underlying ability rating makes her the most likely challenger if Tutu Twist underperforms.
Full result
Winner: Baymount (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Baymount 7/1
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2
Tutu Twist Fox #1 11/8
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3
Ronnie's Rascal Fox #3 9/4
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4
Shing Shang Lily 33/1
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Blue Trix Fox #2 4/1
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Clarnagh Maid 20/1
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Kilbree Nouvella 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tutu Twist 6/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Blue Trix 7/2
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3
Ronnie's Rascal 9/4 🥉 3RD