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17:30 Kempton (AW) Wed 07 Oct 2026 0m7f0y Class 3 Good to Soft 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Twelve Bars silks

Twelve Bars

MEDIUM Advised 10/11 SP 4/5F Est. 38%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Twelve Bars (SR 159, 10/11) is the class benchmark in this field by a meaningful margin — 3 SR points clear of Lancaster Tower and 9 clear of Byzantine. The market has tightened 8% since opening, confirming professional money is backing it at a short price. Oisin Murphy's booking (21% career strike rate, 2,747 runners — the most accomplished jockey in the field) adds further confidence, as does the Hugo Palmer yard running at 13% with a horse showing a second-place on debut — a form line consistent with a horse that has learned plenty and should improve significantly stepping to 7f on AW. At 10/11 the price is modest but the SR superiority and market confidence justify a high-confidence call. Each-way alternative: Lancaster Tower. Main danger: Lancaster Tower — Lancaster Tower (SR 156, 11/4) has dropped a class, carries favourable weight at 9-4, partners William Buick (25% career strike rate — the highest in the field), and has shortened 9% in the market — the headgear switch to hood could unlock improvement from a horse whose form figures of 3-8 leave plenty of room to progress.

Verify· #22059

Full result

Winner: Twelve Bars (IRE) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Twelve Bars silks Twelve Bars Fox #1 Hugo Palmer · Oisin Murphy 5/6
  2. 2 Lancaster Tower silks Lancaster Tower Fox #2 John & Thady Gosden · William Buick 9/4
  3. 3 Fenaroli silks Fenaroli Harry Charlton · Lewis Edmunds 12/1
  4. 4 Byzantine silks Byzantine Fox #3 George Boughey · Billy Loughnane 17/2
  5. 5 Red Wizard silks Red Wizard Harry Charlton · George Wood 100/1
  6. 6 Oldbullyoungbull silks Oldbullyoungbull Fox #4 Alan King · Cieren Fallon 12/1
  7. 7 Odell silks Odell David Menuisier · Robert Havlin 40/1
  8. 8 Palladino silks Palladino Ed Walker · George Downing 33/1
  9. — Kaboom silks Kaboom Richard Hannon · Sean Levey -
  10. — Work Like Hell silks Work Like Hell James Tate · Luke Morris 22/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Twelve Bars silks Twelve Bars 10/11 SP 4/5F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Lancaster Tower silks Lancaster Tower 11/4 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Byzantine silks Byzantine 11/2 🏁 4TH
  4. 4 Oldbullyoungbull silks Oldbullyoungbull 11/1 6TH