← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Zolpharine
SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Zolpharine (SR:75, 17/2) is the standout selection driven by a dramatic 34% market move in — the strongest steamer in the field by a considerable margin — which in a competitive 15-runner handicap chase signals meaningful stable/market confidence. As John Patrick Ryan's #1 runner (Kilashee at SR:49 with a 24% drift is clearly the yard's second string), Zolpharine also carries a light 11-0 and has Course:W0P4 at Killarney, confirming this track suits. Although DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flag distance and going concerns on raw record, the market money at this price overrides statistical hesitation — the connections clearly believe conditions are workable today. At 17/2 with that level of support, the SR-to-weight ratio also compares favourably against the top-rated Cullenwaine (SR:85) who carries the same weight but has DistFit:- and GoingFit:- with a drifting market. Each-way alternative: Cullenwaine. Main danger: Cullenwaine — Cullenwaine holds the field's best SR (85) off a light 11-0, and a recent form figure of 7 from form 254127 is forgiven easily — the prior '1' and '2' show genuine ability and at 9/2 the market has not fully abandoned this horse despite the going and distance flags.
Full result
Winner: Joe's Turn (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Joe's Turn 8/1
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2
It's Time Again 25/1
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3
Urbs Intacta Manet 22/1
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4
True Harmony Fox #3 5/1
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5
Ellens Pride 14/1
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6
Kilashee 12/1
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7
Zolpharine Fox #1 8/1
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8
Kilkee Bay 7/1
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9
Cullenwaine Fox #2 11/2
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10
Nolans Rocco 9/1
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11
Keep Em Quite Fox #4 7/1
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King Ferdinand 28/1
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Barryroe Madam 16/1
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Avec Espoir 66/1
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Backinabit 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Zolpharine 17/2 7TH
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2
Cullenwaine 9/2 9TH
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3
True Harmony 11/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Keep Em Quite 8/1 11TH