← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
James The Brave
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 3/1F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
James The Brave (SR 100, 5/2) is the clear class standout in this field — his SR of 100 is 19 points clear of the next best, Tedworth at 81, in what is a workmanlike lower-tier handicap hurdle. He carries 11-11 which is not onerous by top-weight standards, and his MarkMv:-6 means he is running off a mark 6lb lower than his last win, a significant advantage. Course:W1P1 at Killarney confirms he handles this track, and the market has backed that confidence with a 10% tightening since opening. The 177-day absence is a flag, but trainer Padraig Butler's 11% strike rate is solid for a small yard, and the form string P13F1 reads as a horse who had a fall mid-season but returned to win — the rightmost finish is a win, so he arrives here in form. The main risk is the GoingFit:? — no established record on good ground — but the course form and class superiority outweigh that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Tedworth. Main danger: Tedworth — Tedworth (SR 81, 5/1) has steamed 12% in the market, ran just 3 days ago showing trainer confidence in a quick turnaround, and at 10-9 carries 16lb less than James The Brave — that weight concession over 2m6f on good ground could narrow the class gap significantly.
Full result
Winner: James The Brave (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
James The Brave Fox #1 2/1
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2
Blackwater Soldier Fox #3 6/1
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3
Mane Attraction 28/1
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4
Inchidaly Copper 12/1
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5
Political Stance 20/1
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6
Lakewood Rose 22/1
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7
Ballyminnion Boy 9/1
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8
Prophetess Miriam 16/1
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9
Tedworth Fox #2 5/1
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10
Coolboy Christy 9/1
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11
King's Son Fox #4 11/1
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12
It's Not His Fault 18/1
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Good World 16/1
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Monntie -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
James The Brave 5/2 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Tedworth 5/1 9TH
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3
Blackwater Soldier 16/1 🥈 2ND
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4
King's Son 7/1 11TH