Hailey Equine Irish EBF Brigid's Pastures Stakes (Listed)

15:40 Curragh Sun 04 Oct 2026 6f Class 1 Good 17 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Dancing Saxon

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Dancing Saxon (SR 112, 7/2) is the most complete profile in the field: DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles this exact 6f-on-good combination, while a form string of 112132 shows consistent, high-level form with no weak link. Crucially, the market has shortened 12% from opening — real money arriving on a horse already at a fair price — and she carries the joint-lowest weight in the field at 9-2, a meaningful lbs advantage over Carla Ridge (9-3) and especially Likedbymike (9-6). Joseph Patrick O'Brien's 16% strike rate from 3,193 runners marks him as a top operation and Dancing Saxon is clearly the yard's #1 here, with stable companion Greydreambeliever carrying DistFit:- and GoingFit:- red flags that make her the secondary runner by design. Each-way alternative: Space Bear. Main danger: Carla Ridge — Carla Ridge (SR 115, the highest SR in the field) has proven GoingFit:+ and a Curragh win on her record (Course:W1P1), and while the 147-day absence and 20% market drift are concerns, a class-fit drop back to a mark she has previously handled at this course makes her the most dangerous rival if fully wound up.

Verify· #21451

Full result

Winner: Carla Ridge (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.