← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Roc Dino
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/6 SP 8/13F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Roc Dino (SR 135, 5/6) is the Mullins yard's #1 runner, confirmed by Paul Townend's booking — Townend strikes at 38% from 887 rides, a devastating record — while stablemate Clay Pigeons draws Brian Hayes (10%). The market has backed Roc Dino in 7% since opening, in direct contrast to Clay Pigeons drifting 24%, signalling clear yard intent. A recent form line of 220-12 shows consistent placed efforts culminating in a win last time, and running off the same mark (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that success. The Mullins yard at 26% career strike rate with their first jockey aboard a horse showing improvement through the form string is a formidable combination in a modest novice hurdle. Each-way alternative: Rosie's Wings. Main danger: Dad Sez — Dad Sez carries the highest SR in the field at 154 with Jack Kennedy (22% strike rate) aboard for Gordon Elliott (18%), and despite a 19% market drift, a last-time-out win from a form line reading U51 suggests a horse capable of winning this grade if the drift reflects market noise rather than a genuine negative.
Full result
Winner: Roc Dino (FR) at SP 8/13F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Roc Dino Fox #1 4/6
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2
Dad Sez Fox #2 7/2
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3
Rosie's Wings Fox #3 11/2
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4
Goeasyonme 14/1
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5
Clay Pigeons 11/1
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6
I Can Find Em 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Roc Dino 5/6 SP 8/13F 🏆 WON
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2
Dad Sez 7/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Rosie's Wings 5/1 🥉 3RD