← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tipsy Tapas At Winter Ladies Evening Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Patrol
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 15/8F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Patrol (SR 87, 5/2) is the standout on multiple converging signals. The market has steamed in 18% — the most decisive market move in this field — endorsing what the data already shows: Course:W2P4 at Southwell (a genuine course specialist), DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirming that today's conditions are squarely in his wheelhouse, and a ClassMv:= meaning no step into the unknown. Carrying 10-0 is the heaviest weight in the field, but his SR 87 is the joint-highest and the weight edge over Madjid (SR 90, 9-7) is only 7lb — manageable given Patrol's Southwell expertise versus Madjid's GoingFit:- and DistFit:? on a debut at 1m4f. Trainer Dylan Cunha (13%) and Jack Callan (13%) represent a competent, in-form pairing for this grade, and the MarkMv:= means he runs off the exact same mark he last competed at, with no punitive rise to overcome. Each-way alternative: Madjid. Main danger: Madjid — Madjid (SR 90, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives on a hot recent sequence of 957112, with trainer Harry Charlton operating at a solid 16% strike rate — if he handles the going and the step up to 1m4f (both marked as unknowns), his raw ability could overpower the favourite.
Full result
Winner: Patrol (IRE) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Patrol Fox #1 11/4
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2
Molo Del Palazzo 11/1
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3
Flightofthephoenix Fox #4 5/1
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4
Roker Roar Fox #3 11/2
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5
Madjid Fox #2 9/4
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6
Dream Harder 25/1
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7
League of Justice 33/1
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8
Bondi 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4