← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet With The Dewhurst Ring Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Caballo de Guerra
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Caballo de Guerra (SR 114, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has steamed dramatically in the market — shortening 47% from its opening price, which is by far the strongest market signal in this race. Carrying 12-0 (top weight) is a concern, but with an SR advantage of 2lb over the next-best and a 5-year-old's physical profile suggesting further improvement, the market confidence cannot be ignored. The trainer/jockey combination at 5% and 11% respectively is modest, but the sheer scale of the market move (47% in) suggests informed money rather than casual punting. Distance and going fitness are unproven (?), which limits certainty, but no rival combines SR, age, and market support to match. Each-way alternative: Follow Charlie. Main danger: Follow Charlie — Follow Charlie (SR 112, 9/2) has Course:W3P5 at Perth — an outstanding course record — GoingFit:+, and recent form of '4-4113' showing a sharp upswing; the 5lb claimer Murray Dodd offsets the +6 mark rise and this horse knows every bend at the track.
Full result
Winner: Tintintin (FR) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tintintin Fox #4 17/2
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2
Caballo de Guerra Fox #1 4/1
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3
Magnolia 11/2
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4
Annie Agnew Fox #3 5/1
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5
Follow Charlie Fox #2 9/2
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6
Pure Gold 6/1
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7
Bathgate 33/1
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8
Try Them 8/1
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9
Nobotheratall 14/1
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—
El Jefe 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Caballo de Guerra 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Follow Charlie 9/2 5TH
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3
Annie Agnew 5/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Tintintin 17/2 SP 12/1 🏆 WON