← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

16:20 Kempton (AW) Wed 23 Sep 2026 1m Class 4 Good to Soft 9 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Playing Card silks

Playing Card

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Playing Card (SR:151, 7/2) posts the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has steamed in 24% in the market — the single most compelling market signal available in this race. Harry Eustace (13%, 552 runners) is a competent trainer for a debut, and Pat Cosgrave is an experienced booking that suggests connections are serious about winning today. The SR of 151 sits comfortably in the competitive handicap range and represents a meaningful 3-point edge over Donegan (SR:148), the only rival in the same ability bracket, who has received no notable market support and whose jockey Callum Hutchinson (12%) is the weakest booking among the leading contenders. Kodiac City (SR:97, 4/6 favourite) dropping three tiers represents a dramatic class drop but the SR is 54 points below Playing Card — the form-based ability gap is simply too large to ignore even accounting for AW experience. Each-way alternative: Donegan. Main danger: Donegan — Donegan (SR:148, 9/2) is the only other horse in the field rated within the competitive ability bracket, is trained by Andrew Balding (18%, 2,992 runners) — a top yard that debuts winners regularly — and at 9/2 represents genuine each-way value if Playing Card's market move proves premature.

Verify· #19352

Full result

Winner: Donegan (GB) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Donegan silks Donegan Fox #2 Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson 8/1
  2. 2 Playing Card silks Playing Card Fox #1 Harry Eustace · Pat Cosgrave 11/4
  3. 3 Kodiac City silks Kodiac City Fox #3 Richard Hughes · Billy Loughnane 4/7
  4. 4 Status Symbol silks Status Symbol Ed Walker · Ashley Lewis(3) 33/1
  5. 5 Bizzo Flavin silks Bizzo Flavin Roger Teal · Jack Mitchell 28/1
  6. 6 Vestre Moon silks Vestre Moon Ralph Beckett · Jason Watson 16/1
  7. 7 Tarn Hows silks Tarn Hows Daniel & Claire Kubler · Alec Voikhansky 66/1
  8. 8 True Impact silks True Impact Jonathan Portman · Harry Davies 50/1
  9. 9 Smash Royale silks Smash Royale Emma Lavelle · Marco Ghiani 40/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Playing Card silks Playing Card 7/2 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Donegan silks Donegan 9/2 SP 17/2 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Kodiac City silks Kodiac City 4/6 🥉 3RD