← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Classified Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Plaid
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 6/5J Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Plaid (SR 102, 6/4) holds the SR lead by a single point over Runman (SR 101) but carries 5lb less than the older horses and drops a class, making the weight-adjusted advantage meaningful. James Fanshawe (18% strike rate, 818 runners) is a solid operator and the ★★★★☆ star rating aligns with market confidence at a tight 6/4. The form string -21534 shows a horse capable of winning and placing at a decent level, with the '2' and '1' at the right end indicating genuine ability. Runman is the principal danger but his last-run '8' finish is concerning, and while his MarkMv:+3 is benign, the Gosden yard's tongue-tie addition and a recent poor run (18 in form string read right-to-left: last run 8, penultimate 1, before that 0) suggests inconsistency. Each-way alternative: Runman. Main danger: Runman — Runman (SR 101, 6/5) is the market's narrow favourite, trained by the powerhouse Gosden yard (24% strike rate) with Oisin Murphy aboard (22% strike rate), and his form includes a recent win ('1' in the form string) — if that tongue-tie produces an improvement on his last run, he reverses the verdict with Plaid.
Full result
Winner: Plaid (GB) at SP 6/5J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Plaid Fox #1 5/4
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2
Runman Fox #2 5/4
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3
Nesthorn 7/1
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4
Green Cape 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2