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Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Blackwater Lilly
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Blackwater Lilly (SR:88, 11/2) is the standout pick on a convergence of signals: a MarkMv:-9 indicates the handicapper has dropped her 9lb since her last win, giving her a significant opportunity at this level, and the market has steamed in 16% — meaningful money in a small Class 5 field. Neil King's 23% career strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the race, and Jack Quinlan's booking adds further confidence. The 11-10 weight gives her a 2lb advantage over the joint top-weights, and while GoingFit:- is a flag, good-to-firm hurdle ground at Warwick in September is not extreme — the market support suggests connections are undeterred. The form line -44463 shows consistent placed efforts; the 3 last time out confirms she is in decent order. Each-way alternative: Ballylicky Bay. Main danger: Ballylicky Bay — Ballylicky Bay (SR:87, 10/3) has steamed in 24% — the joint-strongest market move in the race — carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 11-2, and a 855-32 form line showing a placed run last time out suggests she arrives in form, making her the most credible threat to the selection.
Full result
Winner: Miracles Do Happen (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Miracles Do Happen 10/1
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2
Guts And Glory Fox #3 2/1
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3
Ballylicky Bay Fox #2 5/2
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4
Barafundle Bay 10/1
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5
Blackwater Lilly Fox #1 11/4
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6
Lady Bee Great 80/1
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Jammy Jay Fox #4 7/2
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Cappa Lass 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4