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Mr Fox’s call
Town Queen
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 SP 5/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Town Queen (SR:89, 15/2) combines the second-highest SR in the field with a powerful 29% market shortening — the clearest steam signal in this race — plus proven course form (W1P1 at Southwell), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+). Running off the same mark as her last win (MarkMv:=) and trained by K.R. Burke (20% career strike rate, 2139 runners — a yard that sends horses to run when ready), the alignment of SR, market confidence, course-and-going affinity, and stable quality makes her the standout pick. Her form string 22217 shows consistent proximity to the pace, and on this evidence the recent 7th is the aberration. The 9-6 weight is also comfortable — she carries 7lb less than top-weight Inside Story while being the higher-ability horse. Each-way alternative: Afraj. Main danger: Afraj — Afraj (SR:86, 4/1) is trained by John & Thady Gosden (24% strike rate — the highest in the field), carries only 9-9, showed a last-run win (Form:1-3341) and has confirmed distance fitness, making her a genuine threat at a competitive price.
Full result
Winner: Town Queen (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Town Queen Fox #1 8/1
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2
Chantelle Fox #3 9/1
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3
Handle With Care 16/1
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4
Afraj Fox #2 5/2
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5
Inside Story 10/3
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6
Bella Bisbee 28/1
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7
Patricia R 40/1
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8
Miss Lady Grace 10/1
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9
Bami 16/1
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10
Enola Grey 9/1
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11
Lope El Fuego 50/1
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12
Merry Fox #4 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Town Queen 15/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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2
Afraj 4/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Chantelle 9/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Merry 6/1 12TH