← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Free Tips On attheraces.com Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Rum Diamond
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Rum Diamond carries the highest SR in the field at 156 and arrives on the back of a place finish (Form:2) — the only runner besides Houndswood Willow with any racecourse experience over obstacles, critical in a juvenile maiden hurdle. The market has shortened 10% since opening, reflecting meaningful support despite the GoingFit:- flag, and the course place (W0P1 at Fontwell) shows familiarity with this tight, turning track. At 11/4, the price reflects the combination of top SR, live market confidence, and a positive experience filter that most rivals simply cannot match. Each-way alternative: Ollierob. Main danger: Ollierob — Ollierob shares the joint-second highest SR at 152, is trained by Harry Derham (22% strike rate) and ridden by Paul O'Brien (15%), and while the 14% drift is concerning, the powerful stable suggests connections retain confidence in a horse that could outrun inexperience on ability alone.
Full result
Winner: Royal Sapphire (IRE) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Royal Sapphire Fox #3 15/2
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2
Houndswood Willow Fox #4 7/1
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3
Rum Diamond Fox #1 5/2
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4
Ollierob Fox #2 15/8
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Causing Problems 11/2
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Janteloven 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rum Diamond 11/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Ollierob 3/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Royal Sapphire 4/1 SP 20/1 🏆 WON
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4
Houndswood Willow 14/1 🥈 2ND