← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
City Of Chichester Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Moon Over Miami
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Moon Over Miami (SR:88, 11/2, 10-0) has been dramatically steamed in the market — a 43% move in from an opening price is the most significant market signal in the race and demands respect. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) into a Class 3 handicap over 2m on soft is a logical and well-timed move from the Ralph Beckett yard (17% strike rate, the strongest trainer in the field), and Hector Crouch at 17% provides a competent booking. While the form string 1-5040 is mixed, the standout win earlier in the sequence and today's class drop combine with the aggressive market move to present a compelling case. Carrying 10-0 is not a burden in this modest field where the SR ceiling is only 91. Each-way alternative: Maxident. Main danger: Maxident — Maxident (SR:91, highest in the field, 7/2, 9-8) has shortened 10% in the market, carries a favourable weight, and the form string 421-22 shows consistent placed efforts at this level — if the pace suits a prominent racer, this is the one most likely to deny Moon Over Miami.
Full result
Winner: Maxident (GB) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Maxident Fox #2 5/2
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2
Moon Over Miami Fox #1 11/2
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3
Personal Best 5/1
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4
Senor Cortez Fox #3 7/1
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5
Premiere Ligne 14/1
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6
Marnier 16/1
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7
Blazeon Five 10/1
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8
Knight Templar 28/1
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9
Squire Danagher Fox #4 9/2
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Synergism -
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Bahadur -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Moon Over Miami 11/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Maxident 7/2 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Senor Cortez 5/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Squire Danagher 7/2 9TH