← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Warm-Flo Hot To Trot Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Jolie Coeur Allen
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Jolie Coeur Allen (SR:106, 9/2, Wgt:11-6) is the standout on market intelligence — a 23% steamer in a six-runner field is a significant signal, and it's the only runner shortening materially. The weight is favourable: 8lb less than top-weight Machete Beach (12-2) and 4lb less than Saint Polo (11-10), meaning Jolie Coeur Allen has a real lbs edge despite a modest SR. Recent form 173-42 is consistent enough at this class level (ClassMv:=) and the tongue-tie application suggests connections are targeting an improvement. In a small field at Class 4 for modest prize money, the market move of this magnitude on a 9/2 shot with stable confidence behind it is hard to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Scots Poet. Main danger: Scots Poet — Scots Poet (SR:107, 5/1) has outstanding course form (W2P3 at Sedgefield), is a 19% market mover, and despite stepping up in class carries only 11-4 — a genuine course specialist whose track record at this venue could easily overcome the class rise.
Full result
Winner: Saint Polo (FR) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Saint Polo Fox #4 5/2
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2
Glory And Honour 12/1
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3
Jolie Coeur Allen Fox #1 6/1
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4
Fine Point 9/2
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5
Scots Poet Fox #3 4/1
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6
Machete Beach Fox #2 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4