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Marilyn And Millie's Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Lady Kara
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Lady Kara (SR:112, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in this field and brings a red-hot form string of -3111U — three consecutive wins before an unseating that tells us nothing about ability. A 24% market steam to 9/2 is significant in a five-runner field and signals informed money. Course:W2P3 at Newton Abbot is outstanding specialist form, and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits. Yes, she's running off a mark 5lb higher than her last win (MarkMv:+5), but that small premium is offset by the lightest top-weight she can command given the SR advantage over the field. Each-way alternative: Thickthorn Tom. Main danger: Thickthorn Tom — Thickthorn Tom (SR:110, 7/4) is the marginal favourite with an excellent recent form string of -21211, Course:W1P1 at Newton Abbot, and the powerful Dan/Harry Skelton combination who strike at 21%/27% respectively — the class rise (↑1) and a 12lb higher mark than last win are the only concerns, but this yard manages progressive horses expertly.
Full result
Winner: Thickthorn Tom (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thickthorn Tom Fox #2 11/8
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2
It's A Breeze 9/4
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3
Quick Sharpener 8/1
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4
Lady Kara Fox #1 10/3
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—
Mcgregors Charge Fox #3 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lady Kara 9/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Thickthorn Tom 7/4 SP 5/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Mcgregors Charge 7/2