Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes

15:30 Carlisle Thu 27 Aug 2026 5f182y Class 4 Good 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Rogue Attraction

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Rogue Attraction (SR 86, 11/4) leads the field on ability, carries a manageable 9-9, and brings proven course form (W1P2 at Carlisle) with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip. The market has spoken loudly — 22% in from opening — and Edward Bethell (16% strike rate, 629 runners) booking Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate, 867 runners) is a high-quality connections pairing for this level. The class drop of one tier further eases the task, and while the MarkMv:+3 is a mild negative, it is modest and easily offset by the weight advantage over Town Queen's superior form. The GoingFit:~ is the one note of caution, but course familiarity at Carlisle compensates. Each-way alternative: Go Vince Go. Main danger: Town Queen — Town Queen (SR 87, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2, has GoingFit:+ confirmed on today's going, and arrives on a 2221 form string — though the 70-day absence and 43% market drift are the key concerns that keep her off the top spot.

Verify· #14459

Full result

Winner: Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Rikki Tiki Tavi Kevin Ryan · Kevin Stott 14/1
2 Rogue Attraction Fox #1 Edward Bethell · Daniel Tudhope 9/4
3 Go Vince Go Fox #3 Tim Easterby · Sean Kirrane 7/2
4 Zarvali Roger Fell · Callum Shepherd 20/1
5 Invincible Boy Fox #4 Richard & Peter Fahey · Barry McHugh 13/2
6 Kody B Craig Lidster · P J McDonald 18/1
7 Town Queen Fox #2 K. R. Burke · Sam James 5/2
— Here Forever David & Nicola Barron · David Nolan -
— Tip Foster David & Nicola Barron · Connor Beasley 11/1
— Trust Amy Gary Hanmer · Andrew Mullen 40/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Rogue Attraction 11/4 🥈 2ND
2 Town Queen 5/2 7TH
3 Go Vince Go 9/2 🥉 3RD
4 Invincible Boy 17/2 5TH