← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Thomson Bethune Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Amber Hamur
SPECULATIVE Advised evn Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Amber Hamur (SR:54, evens) has steamed in 27% from opening and sits at evens in an 8-runner Class 6 handicap — the market is sending a very clear signal. The form string 46211 (right-to-left: last run 1st, penultimate 1st) shows back-to-back wins in excellent recent form, the only horse in the field with that kind of momentum. GoingFit:+ confirms suitability for today's good ground, and Edward Bethell (16% strike rate, 627 runners — a reliable northern yard) booking Connor Beasley (15%) completes a confident connections picture. Running off a mark 5lb higher (MarkMv:+5) is the only caveat, but consecutive wins going into that rise is textbook form for a horse still improving at 3. Each-way alternative: Trucial Pearl. Main danger: Trucial Pearl — Trucial Pearl carries the best SR in the field (64) on the lightest weight (8-7), giving it a significant pounds-per-ability edge, and its form string ends in a win (4th run back) followed by 314 — consistently hitting the frame at this class.
Full result
Winner: Dalamara (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dalamara Fox #4 11/1
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2
Horwich 25/1
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3
Amber Hamur Fox #1 5/6
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4
Trucial Pearl Fox #2 5/1
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5
Only Dream Big Fox #3 9/1
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6
Positive Thoughts 10/1
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7
Balmoral Boy 11/1
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8
Vitality 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4