← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Smarter Gambling Starts At gambling.com Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Great Blasket
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Great Blasket (SR:80, 5/2) leads the SR rankings alongside Havana Touch and is priced as market leader with no drift — unlike Havana Touch which has drifted a damaging 28% from its opening price. The recent form string 437613 shows a last-time-out win just 19 days ago, the freshest positive form in the field at this class level. Carrying 10-0 is the top weight, but the 1lb edge in SR over Havana Touch (81 vs 80 but Havana Touch carries 9-10) is marginal; however, Havana Touch's 76-day absence and GoingFit:- on today's good ground are significant negatives that give Great Blasket the edge. The visor headgear is retained from the winning run, and trainer James Owen at 17% strike rate with jockey Christian Howarth booking aligns with stable confidence. Each-way alternative: Dannick. Main danger: Dannick — Dannick (SR:79, 7/2) has a Course:W1P1 record at Lingfield AW, GoingFit:+ on today's good going — the only runner in the field with confirmed positive going fit — and ran just 3 days ago indicating peak fitness, making it the most dangerous rival to Great Blasket.
Full result
Winner: Dannick (GB) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Dannick Fox #3 4/1
-
2
Havana Touch Fox #2 3/1
-
3
Great Blasket Fox #1 3/1
-
4
Ernie's Valentine 12/1
-
5
Majestic Wave 18/1
-
6
Thapa VC Fox #4 8/1
-
7
Amused 9/2
-
8
Renesmee 25/1
-
9
Nezeeh 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Great Blasket 5/2 🥉 3RD
-
2
Havana Touch 4/1 🥈 2ND
-
3
Dannick 7/2 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
-
4
Thapa VC 7/1 6TH