← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Jerry McDonnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Gerrys Wish
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Gerrys Wish (SR:85, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and sits in the SR 85 bracket versus a field where the next-best cluster is 79-82. Gordon Elliott at 15% career strike rate and Jack Kennedy at 19% is a top-tier NH partnership that commands respect at any level. The weight of 11-8 is manageable — heavier than Princess Felicia's 10-6 but the SR advantage more than compensates. The form string 22-8P2 shows consistency at placed level with the P and 8 explainable excursions, and the last run was a placed effort. Yes, the market has drifted 9% and GoingFit is only moderate (~), but the SR edge over this modest €6k field is decisive and no rival combines both high ability and strong connections. Each-way alternative: Princess Felicia. Main danger: Princess Felicia — Princess Felicia (SR:79, 4/1) is the market's pick, carries only 10-6 — a 16lb weight advantage over Gerrys Wish — and her form string 3U/3-2 shows solid placed consistency; the featherweight on an unknown going/distance sample (both DistFit and GoingFit unknown) means she could easily handle conditions and her lighter burden is a genuine leveller.
Full result
Winner: Princess Felicia (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Princess Felicia Fox #2 11/4
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2
Joshua Chamberlain 14/1
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3
Fine Print 14/1
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4
Gerrys Wish Fox #1 11/2
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5
Tawny Lea 66/1
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6
Ballyminnion Boy 66/1
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7
Ancient Myth 18/1
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8
Blackwater Soldier 28/1
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9
My Good Pal 11/1
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10
Giorgia Rose Fox #3 9/1
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11
Phildante Fox #4 17/2
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12
Chanceitlucky 6/1
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13
Ranger Billy 14/1
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14
Barryroe Madam 14/1
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The Vegas Raider 20/1
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It's Time Again 14/1
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Tantrum Boy 7/1
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But What About Me 20/1
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St Anthonys Corner SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gerrys Wish 5/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Princess Felicia 4/1 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Giorgia Rose 7/1 10TH
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4
Phildante 13/2 11TH