← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Village Dream
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 4/5F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Village Dream (SR:89, 9/4) is the top-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries the Mullins yard's strongest signals: Willie Mullins trains at a 21% strike rate from 1,276 runners, and Patrick Mullins rides at 29% from 179 — the most formidable connections combination in this field by a distance. The tongue-tie (HG:t) suggests connections are optimising for today. Myluckymaker (SR:84) is the nearest SR rival but is trained by McConnell at just 3% from 345 runners — a yard that rarely fires in these situations — and the form string 862- shows a decline in recent runs. Village Dream's single prior run showing a fifth is the least informative form line, but the Mullins machine at a track like Tramore in a mares' bumper at odds of 9/4 is the clearest signal in the race, and the SR advantage backs it up. Each-way alternative: Myluckymaker. Main danger: Super Freak — Super Freak (SR:76, 11/2) has shortened 20% in the market, is trained by Thomas Cooper at 12% and ridden by Hugh Swan at 15% — both above-average connections for this level — and at 11/2 represents live each-way or place danger if Village Dream's single run leaves fitness questions unanswered.
Full result
Winner: Village Dream (IRE) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Village Dream Fox #1 2/1
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2
Myluckymaker Fox #2 5/2
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3
Pamelaisbrass 18/1
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4
Bluebell Breeze 18/1
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5
Anna Quaintance 12/1
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6
Lockeen Rose 66/1
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7
Frau Blucher 28/1
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8
A Chairde Go Leir 33/1
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9
Super Freak Fox #3 11/2
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10
The Two Mary's 8/1
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11
Moot Hall Fox #4 14/1
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—
Winnie Mcgoogan 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Village Dream 9/4 SP 4/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Myluckymaker 3/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Super Freak 11/2 9TH
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4
Moot Hall 22/1 11TH