← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Victoria House Tramore Mares Beginners Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Straight Home
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Straight Home (SR:121, 4/1) is the standout pick driven by a compelling combination of signals. The Mkt:in26% is the loudest signal in the race — a 26% market shortening from opening indicates significant informed money arriving, and in a Mullins yard where three runners compete, that move distinguishes this horse as the yard's #1 intent. At SR:121 she sits third in the field but the market clearly rates her ability to translate that on fresh ground. The form string 71/41- shows a win and a place from her last four completed runs, and coming off a 426-day layoff with a tongue-tie (HG:t) fitted for the first time suggests Mullins has specifically prepared this mare for this moment. GoingFit:? is the main unknown, but good ground at Tramore in a mares' beginner chase is benign enough that it shouldn't derail a horse showing this level of stable confidence. Each-way alternative: La Note Verte. Main danger: Future Prospect — Future Prospect carries the highest SR in the field at 126, is the market favourite at 13/8, and despite a 6% drift has Mullins/Danny Mullins booking which means connections have not abandoned her — a 43-F22 form string showing two recent runner-up finishes suggests she is running into form and the F was a one-off.
Full result
Winner: La Note Verte (GB) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
La Note Verte Fox #3 9/4
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2
Future Prospect Fox #2 6/4
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3
Straight Home Fox #1 9/2
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4
Miss Fourie 14/1
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5
Carry On Heidi 6/1
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6
Ellens Pride 40/1
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Costanuci -
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Liss Eile 40/1
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Kaylasjet -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3