← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Middle Distance Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Mr Moonshine
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Mr Moonshine holds the highest SR in the field at 82, carries the lightest weight at 9-4, and is a 3-year-old with a form string of 24-523 that shows consistent competitiveness at this level. Critically, the market has shortened 21% since opening — the strongest inward move in the race — at 13/8, indicating informed money. The weight advantage over Wardlaw (same SR tier, 9-7) is meaningful on good-to-firm ground over 1m4f, and the Fahey yard operates at a solid 9% strike rate with 430 runners behind them. The only caveat is unknown distance and going fit for all runners here, but Mr Moonshine's class edge and market support tip the balance. Each-way alternative: Wardlaw. Main danger: Wardlaw — Wardlaw (SR:80, 10/3) is trained by Sir Mark Prescott at a 19% strike rate — the strongest trainer stat in the field — has shortened 13% in the market, and at 3 years old carries natural improvement potential over this class despite the 48-day absence.
Full result
Winner: Wardlaw (USA) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Wardlaw Fox #2 3/1
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2
Grey Fable Fox #3 4/1
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3
Mr Moonshine Fox #1 15/8
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4
That Darn Cantor 5/1
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5
Return With Gold 33/1
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—
Sisterandbrother 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mr Moonshine 13/8 🥉 3RD
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2
Wardlaw 10/3 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Grey Fable 9/2 🥈 2ND