← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Miss Scott
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Miss Scott (SR:108, 15/8) is the most compelling profile in this field despite not holding the highest SR. She carries just 8-10, benefits from the Gosden/Murphy combination (trainer 24% strike rate, jockey 21%), has shortened 11% in the market — the only genuine steamer in the race — and steps up just one class off a Listed win last time out (Form: 1-21). The MarkMv:+1 signals she is running off essentially the same mark as her last win, meaning the handicapper has barely reacted. Felicitas holds the SR edge at 116 but has been off 91 days with all distance and going fitness flags unresolved, making her the greater uncertainty. Miss Scott's market support is the decisive differentiating signal in a field where multiple runners show unresolved DistFit and GoingFit questions. Each-way alternative: Regal Charm. Main danger: Felicitas — Felicitas holds the field's highest SR at 116 and her form includes a recent Listed-level 2nd (Form: 1-127 read right-to-left: last run 7th, but prior runs show a win and a 2nd at this class), and if Ed Walker has her fit after 91 days she retains the class edge that the SR reflects.
Full result
Winner: On Message (GB) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
On Message Fox #4 11/1
-
2
Miss Scott Fox #1 15/8
-
3
Felicitas Fox #2 11/8
-
4
Alla Stella 17/2
-
5
Annastarzy 20/1
-
6
Regal Charm Fox #3 8/1
-
7
Goldilocks Cen 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4