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National Racehorse Week 2026 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Girl Scout
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Girl Scout (SR:153, 3/1) is the standout on ability in this small field — her SR of 153 towers over Rogue Passion's 95 and the rest of the field by a significant margin, and K.R. Burke's 19% career strike rate is the strongest training operation here. The market has shortened 6% since opening, suggesting quiet confidence from connections, and at level weights of 9-2 across the board, she carries no penalty. Her debut form figure of 5 is unspectacular, but first-time-out runs from the Burke yard frequently show marked improvement, and Clifford Lee retains the ride. The key risk is the untested distance and going (DistFit:? / GoingFit:?) shared by the whole field, but on a SR basis she has class to spare. Each-way alternative: Rogue Passion. Main danger: Rogue Passion — Rogue Passion (4/7, market steaming in 10%) has course form (W0P1 at Carlisle), is the overwhelming market jolly with Oisin Orr riding, and returning after a 33-day break at the same class — despite the significantly lower SR of 95, the market confidence and course experience cannot be ignored and she is the most likely alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: Rogue Passion (IRE) at SP 30/100F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rogue Passion Fox #2 1/2
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2
Lizzie Bennet Fox #3 14/1
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3
Girl Scout Fox #1 5/2
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4
Shaqra Queen 40/1
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5
Sweet Iris 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3