← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Fitzdares Nursery Handicap Stakes

18:15 Windsor Mon 10 Aug 2026 0m6f12y Class 4 Good to Firm 5 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Harry Knows silks

Harry Knows

HIGH Advised 5/6 Est. 45%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Harry Knows (SR 98, 5/6) is the standout on every meaningful signal. An SR of 98 is comfortably the highest in this five-runner Class 4 field, and the 12-point gap over the next-best rivals is decisive at this level. The market has already told the story — a 26% inward move to 5/6 from a presumably longer opening price signals strong professional confidence, not just punter enthusiasm. Course form is confirmed (W1P1 at Windsor), distance fitness is rated '+', and Oisin Murphy's booking (21% career strike rate from 1,291 rides) is the classiest jockey combination in the race. Carrying 9-10 with a MarkMv:+3 is a minor concern, but the SR superiority more than compensates at this class level. Each-way alternative: Keep Kicking On. Main danger: Keep Kicking On — Keep Kicking On (SR 86, 5/1) won last time out and carries a favourable 9-7 with Course:W1P1, meaning it has already scored at Windsor and the drop back to familiar ground gives it the best residual chance of upsetting the favourite.

Verify· #11740

Full result

Winner: Keep Kicking On (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Keep Kicking On silks Keep Kicking On Fox #2 Clive Cox · Hector Crouch 9/2
  2. 2 Everatease silks Everatease Eve Johnson Houghton · Callum Hutchinson 8/1
  3. 3 Harry Knows silks Harry Knows Fox #1 Richard Hughes · Oisin Murphy 4/5
  4. 4 This Moment silks This Moment Fox #3 George Boughey · Billy Loughnane 4/1
  5. 5 El Lambo silks El Lambo Charles Hills · Rob Hornby 25/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Harry Knows silks Harry Knows 5/6 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Keep Kicking On silks Keep Kicking On 5/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
  3. 3 This Moment silks This Moment 10/3 🏁 4TH