← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Keeneland Phoenix Stakes (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Sun Goddess
MEDIUM Advised 6/5 SP 5/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Sun Goddess (SR 121, 6/5) is the dominant selection. She matches Celeron on SR — both at 121, the clear top of the field — but benefits from a 3lb weight advantage (9-2 vs 9-5) which matters in a sprint Group 1 on good to firm ground. Her form of 2121 is the most consistent in the field, showing an alternating pattern that reflects genuine top-level competitiveness rather than a one-off fluke, and she is proven at 6f (DistFit:+). Crucially, she carries Ryan Moore (27% strike rate, 485 runners), the most accomplished booking in the field by a wide margin, and A P O'Brien's yard is firing at 22%. The stable's second string, Carry The Flag (SR 82, Mkt:out103%), has been comprehensively opposed by the market confirming Sun Goddess is the yard's number-one with full yard support behind her. Each-way alternative: Celeron. Main danger: Celeron — Celeron (SR 121, 9/4) matches Sun Goddess on SR and has steamed 10% in the market with Oisin Murphy booked — a 101 form line over 6f showing a last-time-out win makes this a live threat if Sun Goddess's longer absence (43 days) leaves her even fractionally short of peak.
Full result
Winner: Sun Goddess (IRE) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sun Goddess Fox #1 6/4
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2
Folsom Blues Fox #3 5/1
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3
Velozee 12/1
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4
Carry The Flag 33/1
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5
Tribeca 20/1
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6
The Scallionator 100/1
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7
Celeron Fox #2 2/1
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8
King Of Cloughan Fox #4 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sun Goddess 6/5 SP 5/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Celeron 9/4 7TH
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3
Folsom Blues 5/1 🥈 2ND
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4
King Of Cloughan 10/1 8TH