← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Sea Cookie
MEDIUM Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Sea Cookie carries the lowest weight in the field at 9-8, holds the highest SR at 97, and crucially is the only runner with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) on today's Good to Firm ground over 6f — a rare double confirmation that matters enormously in a field where everyone else is unproven or poor on the going. The form string 22-110 shows two recent wins before a 0 last time, and dropping two class tiers gives connections every incentive to bounce back. Tom Clover's 14% yard strike rate is solid, and Neil Callan at 14% career SR is a competent booking. The 10/3 price is slightly adrift of the market-favourite Art Lover but represents fair value given the weight and going advantages. Each-way alternative: Ray Mon Dough. Main danger: Ray Mon Dough — Ray Mon Dough has steamed in 14% in the market, Hector Crouch (17% career SR) is a strong booking, and the class drop of one tier combined with a tongue-tie addition signals a yard that expects an immediate bounce-back from the 626 recent sequence.
Full result
Winner: Ray Mon Dough (GB) at SP 13/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ray Mon Dough Fox #2 4/1
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2
Sea Cookie Fox #1 10/3
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3
Evening Blues 4/1
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4
Nuevo Slovo 50/1
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—
Art Lover Fox #3 15/8
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Percy's Star 17/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sea Cookie 10/3 🥈 2ND
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2
Ray Mon Dough 7/2 SP 13/8 🏆 WON
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3
Art Lover 15/8