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Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap Stakes

19:12 Newmarket (July) Fri 07 Aug 2026 0m6f0y Class 4 Good to Firm 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

The Caltonian silks

The Caltonian

MEDIUM Advised 11/2 Est. 28%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

The Caltonian (SR:73, 11/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-3 and arrives dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) off a mark 19lb lower than last win — the biggest downward mark movement in the field by a wide margin. The 35% market steam (Mkt:in35%) is the strongest positive market signal across all 10 runners and Oisin Murphy booking at 22% strike rate from 1,274 career rides is a significant stable confidence signal. The blinkers (HG:b) suggest connections are sharpening the horse for today. GoingFit:? is a question mark but good-to-firm at Newmarket July is a typical fast-ground venue and a 7yo with 100505 form over varied conditions is not obviously ground-dependent. Each-way alternative: Fenlander. Main danger: Spring Bloom — Spring Bloom (SR:83, 4/1) has the strongest recent form in the field with a 623211 sequence including a last-time-out win, proven course form (W2P3 at Newmarket July), confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's conditions, and has won at this exact mark (MarkMv:=) — the step up one class is the only genuine concern.

Verify· #11252

Full result

Winner: Fifty Nifty (IRE) at SP 18/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Fifty Nifty silks Fifty Nifty Martin Dunne · Cieren Fallon 9/1
  2. 2 Havana Blue silks Havana Blue Julie Camacho · James Doyle 10/3
  3. 3 Spring Bloom silks Spring Bloom Fox #3 John Butler · Neil Callan 9/2
  4. 4 The Caltonian silks The Caltonian Fox #1 Linda Perratt · Oisin Murphy 11/2
  5. 5 Fenlander silks Fenlander Fox #2 Pam Sly · Rob Hornby 7/2
  6. 6 Fiscal Policy silks Fiscal Policy Fox #4 Ruth Carr · Billy Loughnane 5/1
  7. 7 Lil Brother silks Lil Brother Michael Keady · Kyle McHugh(7) 40/1
  8. 8 Akabusi silks Akabusi Mike Murphy · Saffie Osborne 14/1
  9. 9 Royal Accord silks Royal Accord Peter Chapple-Hyam · Harry Davies 40/1
  10. 10 Aspull silks Aspull Phil McEntee · Grace McEntee 50/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 The Caltonian silks The Caltonian 11/2 🏁 4TH
  2. 2 Fenlander silks Fenlander 4/1 5TH
  3. 3 Spring Bloom silks Spring Bloom 4/1 🥉 3RD
  4. 4 Fiscal Policy silks Fiscal Policy 11/2 6TH