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Top Rated Today

Sly Man's Top Rated — Wednesday 1 July 2026

Every rating, pick and market move that matters, in one read.

Sly Man’s Briefing · 2026-07-01

Today’s Top Rated

36 races 389 runners scanned
Sly Man Staff analyst
Signals converging

The FoldThe FoldWhere two or more of Saturday Racing’s primary analytical signals converge on the same horse. The higher the count, the stronger the signal.

1 horse appears in two of today’s primary signals.

Editorial

Sly Man’s Take

Three minutes with the day.

The Read
Lord d'Or at 14:08 Thirsk is the morning's clearest focal point, landing in The Fold by hitting both the SR ratings (157, third on the board) and the cross-system consensus, where all three independent signals — AI consensus, Race Explorer, and the steamer board — align in his favour; that kind of three-way convergence across 36 races and 389 runners is worth treating seriously. Arapaho Gold at 13:38 Thirsk and Knightsbridge at 13:50 Worcester both share that same 3/3 consensus, so the Thirsk early card and the Worcester opener deserve a close look before markets firm. The highest raw SR today belongs to Trouville at 14:50 Worcester (159) and Vanir at 20:30 Fairyhouse (158), though neither has crossed into consensus territory — SR without corroboration is a prompt to watch, not act. One note of caution on the steamer board: the 18:57 Epsom runners Timber Twelve and Analogical have moved dramatically in the wrong direction (12/1 to 28/1 and 17/2 to 16/1 respectively), suggesting the market is actively cooling on that race, which cuts against any enthusiasm the raw ratings might generate there. Today's signals are reasonably well-defined at Thirsk — Lord d'Or is the name to keep front of mind — but the convergence is narrow elsewhere, so treat the rest of the card as watchlist rather than bet slip.
The scan

Top Signals TodayTop SignalsThe highest-conviction hit from each race today, one row per race. Filters the whole card down to what’s actually worth watching.

The highest-conviction hits, one per race.

Race Horse Price Consensus Steamer Notes Result
14:08 Thirsk
Lord d'Or SR 157
8/13
Top pick
🥈 2nd
13:38 Thirsk
3/10
Strong contender
🏆 WON
13:50 Worcester
2/1
Strong contender
🏆 WON
14:50 Worcester
Trouville SR 159
11/10
Highest SR (watch)
🏆 WON
20:30 Fairyhouse
Vanir SR 158
11/4
Highest SR (watch)
Race at 20:30
17:20 Epsom
25/1
↓ 14/1→25/1
Steaming
8th
18:57 Epsom
33/1
↓ 12/1→28/1
Steaming
🏆 WON
18:57 Epsom
16/1
↓ 17/2→16/1
Steaming
10th
15:25 Worcester
25/1
↑ 9/1→25/1
Market cooling
7th
18:57 Epsom
125/1
↑ 40/1→100/1
Market cooling
7th
By the numbers

The Ratings

Top three horses by each rating system today.

SR Speed Rating SR — Speed RatingA numeric performance score based on race times. Higher is faster — typically 100+ is strong, 140+ is Group-race calibre.
  1. Trouville

    14:50 Worcester 11/10
    159
  2. Vanir

    20:30 Fairyhouse 11/4
    158
  3. Lord d'Or

    14:08 Thirsk 8/13
    157
OR Official Rating OR — Official RatingThe BHA handicapper’s assessment of a horse’s ability. Used to set the weight it carries in handicaps.
  1. Quick Sharpener

    13:20 Worcester 14/1
    112
  2. Duel Au Soleil

    13:20 Worcester 11/2
    112
  3. Yes Day

    13:20 Worcester 6/1
    111
TS Topspeed TS — TopspeedAn independent speed figure benchmark. Read alongside SR for a second opinion on raw pace.

No qualifying rating today.

Cross-system agreement

Systems ConsensusSystems ConsensusWhen multiple independent Saturday Racing engines (AI models, Sly Man, Mr Fox, market read) land on the same horse. Cross-system agreement is unusual and worth taking seriously.

The horses Saturday Racing's independent analytical engines all landed on. When four systems built on different signals agree, the market usually catches up quickly.

Market moves

The MoneyThe MoneyThe board’s view of the race — which horses the market is backing, which it’s abandoning, and by how much.

What the boards are telling us.

Steamers — sharp money coming inSteamerA horse whose odds have shortened significantly as the market backs it. Sharp money coming in.

Drifters — sanity checkDrifterA horse whose odds have lengthened as the market cools on it. Sanity-check signal — sometimes right, sometimes wrong.

Contextual edges

The Angles

The situational reads.

Trainer hot streak

14 days
  1. Michael Wigham 57.1% (4/7) · 2 today
  2. Tom Dascombe 30.8% (4/13) · 1 today
  3. Charlie Clover 30.0% (3/10) · 1 today
  4. Dan Skelton 24.2% (8/33) · 1 today
  5. Gary Hanmer 22.2% (2/9) · 2 today

Jockey upgrade

New pilot
  1. Tabasko 18:57 Epsom Marco Ghiani (32.3%) up from Ashley Lewis(5) (8.3%)
    17/2 🥈 2nd
  2. She's On The Ball 17:40 Fairyhouse Rory Mulligan(2) (18.8%) up from Wayne Lordan (0.0%)
    10/1 8th
  3. She Went Whoosh 19:08 Bath Kieran O'Neill (18.2%) up from Tyler Heard (0.0%)
    25/1 6th
  4. Sir Garfield 18:22 Epsom Marco Ghiani (32.3%) up from Jason Hart (14.5%)
    8/1 🏆 WON
  5. Mrs Trump 14:40 Thirsk Mark Winn (15.4%) up from Cam Hardie (0.0%)
    17/2 8th

Class dropper

-1 class
  1. Pivotal Days 20:53 Bath Class 2 → Class 6 (drop 4)
    66/1 Race at 20:53
  2. Possessive 13:08 Thirsk Class 2 → Class 5 (drop 3)
    5/4 🥉 3rd
  3. Brixworth Bandit 13:38 Thirsk Class 2 → Class 5 (drop 3)
    22/1 Race at 13:38
  4. Harry's Pop 18:33 Bath Class 2 → Class 5 (drop 3)
    7/1 11th
  5. Velma Dinkley 18:33 Bath Class 2 → Class 5 (drop 3)
    40/1 9th