LLaMa Letters · The Honest Record
Race by Race
LLaMa’s 1-2-3-4 for every race she’s ever written on — graded pick by pick, straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
-
Winner called 4/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Ombudsman
unpricedHighest SR in the field at 119, back-to-back wins, Buick booked, and a true Ascot gallop sets up his strong finish perfectly.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Daryz
unpricedSR 118, consecutive victories, and Barzalona for Graffard is a formidable cross-Channel combination — he'll be finishing fastest of all bar the winner.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Minnie Hauk
unpricedThe 3lb weight allowance and Ryan Moore are enough to pinch third; SR 115 is workmanlike but this pace and trip suits her better than last time.
-
4Predicted 4th
Almaqam
unpricedSR 112 and a 1233-1 form line confirm he competes honestly; setting the pace off a good weight of 9-2, he'll be caught late but not disgraced.
-
-
Winner called 1/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Blue Bolt
unpricedSR-104, form 1122-1, last-time-out winner under Colin Keane — the strongest recent form in the field and the pace will be honest enough to suit her finishing style.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Carolina Jetstream
unpricedRyan Moore's booking on a 4yo who has twice won recently gives this 9-2 shot claims; SR-99 is workmanlike but Moore extracts every point from it.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Godspeed
unpricedSR-98, form 8147-2 shows a placed effort last time; James Doyle keeps this yard honest and a second consecutive placed run at this level is achievable.
-
4Predicted 4th
Noche Clasica
unpricedForm of 131-14 shows a winner and a placed effort in recent starts; Kevin Stott can pinch a position off a strong pace and the 4yo profile fits the race.
-
-
Winner placed 2/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Point Of Law
unpricedSR 141 tops the field, his 21 form is progressive, and a true-run Good to Firm Ascot mile-and-six plays directly to his sustained galloping style under James Doyle.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Galiyan
unpricedSR 139 makes Galiyan the only other horse in this field operating at Group 2 quality; Oisin Murphy will ensure he runs his race and he'll finish clear of the rest.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Limestone
unpricedForm figures of 321-11 show consistency if not class; Dylan Browne McMonagle will get the best out of him for third in a moderately-rated chasing pack.
-
4Predicted 4th
Port Of Spain
unpricedRyan Moore drags Port Of Spain into the places through sheer horsemanship, but an SR of 90 and a stop-start form line of 1537-5 cap his ceiling at fourth.
-
-
Missed the frame 0/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Love A Giggle
unpricedJoint-top SR of 143, unbeaten in two starts — the only filly in the field combining both signals. Burke and Lee have placed her perfectly.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Shining Moment
unpricedWesley Ward's more experienced runner; SR-140 and a runner-up on latest start shows she handles pressure. Oisin Murphy is the right jockey for a big-field sprint.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Big Negotiator
unpricedSR-142 and a form line of 321 shows consistent improvement; P J McDonald is quietly underrated in these big-field juvenile sprints.
-
4Predicted 4th
Armor Supreme
unpricedSR-142 with form reading 12 — she has run at the top of this division already. Rossa Ryan will position her to take full advantage of any splits.
-
-
Missed the frame 2/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Valiancy
unpricedSR 90, best form in the race on a 1321-1 string, 9-10 weight is workable, Haggas-Doyle axis, and a pace scenario that sets up her finishing kick perfectly.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Gamrai
unpricedJoint-top SR of 90 with Oisin Murphy aboard and a recent second suggests a horse close to peak fitness; Gosden horses rarely run badly at Ascot in midsummer.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Sing Us A Song
unpricedJames McDonald takes the ride and the 971-32 shows a horse that competes at this level; 9-9 is a fair weight and Ralph Beckett's four-year-olds often run well fresh.
-
4Predicted 4th
Daiquiri Bay
unpricedRossa Ryan on a horse that last won at 4353-1 suggests confidence; Alan King targeting this race specifically, though a class rise makes the frame rather than the win more likely.
-
-
Missed the frame 1/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Survie
unpricedSR joint-top at 102, carries 9-0 against a field uniformly on 9-5, Moore in the saddle, Boughey placing horses expertly. The weight edge does the work.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Dividend
unpricedSR 102, form -31125 reads progressive and consistent — Rossa Ryan takes the ride on a horse arriving here off back-to-back wins. Best rival at the weights.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Nahraan
unpricedThree wins from four starts, Oisin Murphy booked, Gosden yard never wastes a Ascot entry — the weight is the only thing stopping this three-year-old going closer.
-
4Predicted 4th
Gaucher
unpricedWillie Mullins sending a seven-year-old to Ascot suggests confidence; /41-12 form shows ability to front-run and win. Colin Keane will make it honest.
-
-
Winner placed 1/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Tim Toe
unpricedThree wins from three runs, joint-top SR of 86, carrying a fair 9-3. De Bromhead doesn't send horses to Ascot for a day out — this is a planned raid.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Bahadur
unpricedSR 86, form 11-651 with two earlier wins suggesting ability — Robert Havlin on a 4yo who has clearly had issues but holds talent worth respecting at this weights range.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Mordor
unpricedSR 83, won last time out (form 1020-1), Jamie Spencer knows exactly how to dictate at Ascot — the pace-setter often finds the frame in a truly-run marathon.
-
4Predicted 4th
Glenroyal
unpricedSR 85, form 31011- shows consistent placing and three wins in the sequence — Joseph O'Brien's yard has significant firepower here and Glenroyal is the stable's best-credentialled …
-
-
Winner called 3/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Bow Echo
unpricedSR:118 leads this field; unbeaten 111-1 form and front-running style on stiff Ascot ground gives Loughnane the race in his own hands from the front.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Puerto Rico
unpricedSR:111 and a 4111-4 form line including three straight wins suggests Soumillon will be pressing hardest at the line for O'Brien.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Gstaad
unpricedSR:113 is the second-highest in the field and Moore's positional intelligence will get him into contention, but 221-21 form suggests he finds one too good.
-
4Predicted 4th
Talk Of New York
unpricedSR:99 is a full 19 points below Bow Echo; Buick's hold-up style needs the leaders to come back to him, and on this evidence they won't.
-
-
Winner called 2/4 in frame · Winner
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Mission Central
unpricedBack-to-back wins, Ryan Moore booked deliberately, and O'Brien never wastes a Royal Ascot entry. The 610-11 trajectory over a flat field of veterans makes this the standout progre…
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Behike
unpricedTwo wins from three starts, lightly campaigned, and George Scott rarely ships a 3-year-old to Royal Ascot without strong private homework behind the decision.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Rosy Affair
unpricedThe 411-21 form line is the most coherent in the field for a non-juvenile; Boughey and Loughnane have been in scintillating form and 9-4 is the lightest weight among the older mar…
-
4Predicted 4th
Night Raider
unpricedK R Burke's Night Raider finished 450-11 — two wins to close the season — and James Doyle rarely takes a trip to Ascot for the scenery.
-
-
Winner placed 2/4 in frame
-
🥇Predicted 1st
Adaay Of Scarlett
unpricedTop SR in the field at 145, back-to-back wins at rising class, and Loughnane retaining the ride signals stable confidence. This is the horse with the most corroborating evidence.
-
🥈Predicted 2nd
Great Barrier Reef
unpricedSR 143 and a perfect 11 form gives the O'Brien-Lordan combination strong claims; two wins suggests a proper two-year-old, just edged on our ratings by Adaay Of Scarlett.
-
🥉Predicted 3rd
Night In Vegas
unpricedUnbeaten record and SR 143 matching Great Barrier Reef, but Eve Johnson Houghton stepping up sharply in class; third is the honest ceiling given the evidence available today.
-
4Predicted 4th
Mrair
unpricedSR 140 and a progressive 21 form under Oisin Murphy for George Scott; the most interesting of the 140-range runners and capable of grabbing a place if the pace suits off-pace stal…
-