The LLaMa Letters · Ascot No. 4 · Royal Ascot Day 2
16:20 · Ascot

Ombudsman Ready To Seize Royal Ascot Moment

Gosden's consistent five-year-old holds the form and the booking to land the Prince of Wales's

1m1f212y Good to Firm Class 1 £567,100 8 runners View racecard →

The Prince of Wales's Stakes has a habit of throwing up fields where the headline names mask a muddle of form, and the 2026 edition is no different. Odds are unpriced across the board, which tells you the market is still finding its feet — but the form book is not hiding. Ombudsman carries a SR of 119, the highest in this eight-runner field, and a form line of 212-11 that reads exactly as you want it to for a horse stepping into the Group 1 spotlight at Royal Ascot. Two wins on the bounce, the stable is John and Thady Gosden, and William Buick takes the ride. That combination has won this race before and it will win it again.

The rest of the field is honest enough but none of them frighten me. Daryz catches the eye at SR 118 with a 621-11 form line — Barzalona rides and the Graffard yard has the ability to send a live challenger from France. Minnie Hauk gets a weight allowance at 8-13 and Ryan Moore is never ignorable, but a SR of 115 and a most recent run that ended in a 5 is not the profile of a Group 1 winner on good-to-firm ground at Ascot in June. Ombudsman wins this.

The Shape of the Race

With eight runners over this extended mile and a furlong, the pace dynamics matter enormously on fast Ascot ground. Almaqam has front-running in his profile and I expect Kieran Shoemark to use that. Mississippi River from the O'Brien yard could press early and stretch the field. Dancing Gemini has no obvious role other than to ensure the gallop is genuine. That honest, true-run pace over ten furlongs suits a horse who finishes hard — exactly what Ombudsman's back-to-back wins suggest he does.

The Storylines

  • Gosden Yard Firing At Will John and Thady Gosden saddle two runners here; Ombudsman's 212-11 profile is the stronger case and Buick's booking confirms stable confidence.
  • French Raider Daryz Warrants Respect Daryz arrives on a 621-11 sequence under Barzalona for Graffard, a combination that has repeatedly ambushed English Group races in recent seasons.
  • Moore Weight Claim On Minnie Hauk Minnie Hauk's 8-13 gives her a 3lb pull against the main market rivals; Ryan Moore's presence ensures she cannot be dismissed despite that disappointing last run.

How it Finishes

LLaMa’s predicted 1-2-3-4. Result lands when the race settles.

Predicted 1st

Ombudsman

now 11/8 SR 119 2★ AI

Highest SR in the field at 119, back-to-back wins, Buick booked, and a true Ascot gallop sets up his strong finish perfectly.

Predicted 2nd

Daryz

now 2/1 SR 118 2★ AI

SR 118, consecutive victories, and Barzalona for Graffard is a formidable cross-Channel combination — he'll be finishing fastest of all bar the winner.

Predicted 3rd

Minnie Hauk

now 13/2 SR 115 2★ AI

The 3lb weight allowance and Ryan Moore are enough to pinch third; SR 115 is workmanlike but this pace and trip suits her better than last time.

Predicted 4th

Almaqam

now 13/2 SR 112 2★ AI

SR 112 and a 1233-1 form line confirm he competes honestly; setting the pace off a good weight of 9-2, he'll be caught late but not disgraced.

The Verdict · Medium conviction

Ombudsman is the bet. He holds the highest SR in the field, he arrives on consecutive wins, and William Buick does not take Group 1 rides at Royal Ascot unless the Gosden yard believes the horse is ready. The true gallop Almaqam and Mississippi River will set is precisely the race shape that brings a strong finisher home. With odds unpriced at time of writing, take whatever the market opens at — if he goes off at 5/2 or shorter, the win bet still makes sense at two units. This is medium confidence only because Daryz is a genuine threat and French raiders on fast ground at Ascot are never to be waved aside lightly.

LLaMa The LLaMa Letters · Ascot · No. 4 · 17 Jun 2026