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20:30 Southwell (AW) 22 Oct 2026 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)

  • 11 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 6f17y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Moving Force

Daniel Muscutt Mark Loughnane

80SR 84RPR 81OR 8/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 43 +1

Going Record

on Good
38%
~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 42% -9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Daniel Muscutt 245 wins from 1770 rides 14 WIN %
  • Mark Loughnane 129 wins from 1280 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 27 together 7WIN %
2

French Affair

Sean Dylan Bowen Jennie Candlish

89SR 89RPR 81OR 15/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-27 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 62 · Field avg 43 +18

Going Record

on Good
47%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 4 placed · 15 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 42% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Sean Dylan Bowen 125 wins from 1153 rides 11 WIN %
  • Jennie Candlish 154 wins from 909 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 12 together 25WIN %
3

Papa Cocktail

Jason Hart Michael Herrington

81SR 81RPR 80OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 43 -3

Going Record

on Good
42%
~ Mixed

8 wins, 17 placed · 59 runs

This runner 38% · Field avg 42% -4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jason Hart 396 wins from 2777 rides 14 WIN %
  • Michael Herrington 114 wins from 797 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 72 together 19WIN %
4

Kiniro

Jason Watson Dan Horsford

86SR 82RPR 79OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+33 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 43 +10

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 7 placed · 18 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 42% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Watson 250 wins from 1878 rides 13 WIN %
  • Dan Horsford 12 wins from 80 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 15 together 7WIN %
5

Stanley Spencer

Oisin McSweeney Fionn McSharry

73SR 83RPR 77OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 43 -11

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

4 wins, 8 placed · 30 runs

This runner 47% · Field avg 42% +5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Oisin McSweeney 67 wins from 647 rides 10 WIN %
  • Fionn McSharry 16 wins from 121 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 33 together 3WIN %
6

Arduis Invicta

William Pyle Craig Lidster

77SR 85RPR 78OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 43 +2

Going Record

on Good
37%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 4 placed · 19 runs

This runner 31% · Field avg 42% -11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • William Pyle 72 wins from 806 rides 9 WIN %
  • Craig Lidster 70 wins from 603 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 21 wins from 138 together 15WIN %
7

Em Four

William Carver Jamie Osborne

64SR 75RPR 76OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-13 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 43 0

Going Record

on Good
40%
★ Specialist

7 wins, 7 placed · 35 runs

This runner 53% · Field avg 42% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • William Carver 48 wins from 500 rides 10 WIN %
  • Jamie Osborne 116 wins from 959 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 22 wins from 256 together 9WIN %
8

Paradise Walk

Hector Crouch Ralph Beckett

76SR 78RPR 77OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 43 +12

Going Record

on Good
60%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 3 placed · 10 runs

This runner 71% · Field avg 42% +29

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Hector Crouch 362 wins from 1971 rides 18 WIN %
  • Ralph Beckett 337 wins from 1755 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 107 wins from 491 together 22WIN %
9

Roberto Caro

M. P. Sheehy Adrian Keatley

75SR 78RPR 73OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 43 -16

Going Record

on Good
26%
✗ Avoid

3 wins, 2 placed · 19 runs

This runner 27% · Field avg 42% -15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • M. P. Sheehy 33 wins from 440 rides 8 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 116 wins from 771 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 111 together 12WIN %
10

Blue Orbit

Luke Morris Tom Ward

76SR 79RPR 73OR 17/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 43 -6

Going Record

on Good
23%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 2 placed · 13 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 42% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 380 wins from 3114 rides 12 WIN %
  • Tom Ward 70 wins from 655 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
11

Army Bugler

Edward Greatrex Warren Greatrex

53SR 76RPR 73OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 42% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Edward Greatrex 136 wins from 950 rides 14 WIN %
  • Warren Greatrex 115 wins from 784 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 20 wins from 153 together 13WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
5 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat