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17:00 Wolverhampton (AW) 5 Oct 2026 Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap Stakes

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 5f21y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Amber Ocean

Gina Mangan Dr Richard Newland

77SR 89RPR 73OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-48 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 46 +10

Going Record

on Good
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 21% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Gina Mangan 103 wins from 911 rides 11 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland 34 wins from 180 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 7 together 0WIN %
2

Dreams Galore

Billy Loughnane Ollie Sangster

79SR 80RPR 71OR 5/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+32 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 71 · Field avg 46 +25

Going Record

on Good
57%
✓ Proven

3 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 21% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 581 wins from 3164 rides 18 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 110 wins from 781 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 45 together 24WIN %
3

Bellatina

Callum Shepherd Charlie Johnston

60SR 71RPR 71OR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 46 +9

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 3 placed · 8 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 21% -1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Shepherd 259 wins from 1697 rides 15 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 336 wins from 2578 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 22 wins from 169 together 13WIN %
4

Sultan Darius

Darragh Keenan Marco Botti

72SR 76RPR 70OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 46 -3

Going Record

on Good
17%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 21% +12

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Darragh Keenan 130 wins from 1318 rides 10 WIN %
  • Marco Botti 145 wins from 902 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 5 together 20WIN %
5

Duty's Call

Liam Wright(3) George Scott

66SR 73RPR 70OR 6/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 46 -6

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 21% -21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Liam Wright 51 wins from 368 rides 14 WIN %
  • George Scott 176 wins from 900 runners 20 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 86 together 14WIN %
6

Sue's Last Chance

Barry McHugh Richard & Peter Fahey

55SR 74RPR 69OR 11/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 46 -15

Going Record

on Good
17%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 17% · Field avg 21% -4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Barry McHugh 52 wins from 601 rides 9 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 46 together 4WIN %
7

Birkacre Brow

David Probert James Tate

64SR 72RPR 69OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 58 · Field avg 46 +12

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 75% · Field avg 21% +54

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • David Probert 319 wins from 2389 rides 13 WIN %
  • James Tate 125 wins from 674 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 9 together 22WIN %
8

Ard As A Rock

Rob Hornby David Evans

69SR 78RPR 67OR 9/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 46 -15

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 21% -21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Rob Hornby 243 wins from 2112 rides 12 WIN %
  • David Evans 131 wins from 1013 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 6 together 17WIN %
9

Penny Capri

Jack Doughty David Loughnane

41SR 67RPR 66OR 40/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 46 -8

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 21% -21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Doughty 146 wins from 1158 rides 13 WIN %
  • David Loughnane 99 wins from 854 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 10 together 0WIN %
10

Defiant Dream

Kieran O'Neill Mark Usher

37SR 62RPR 53OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 46 -8

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 21% -21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Kieran O'Neill 170 wins from 1812 rides 9 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 70 wins from 667 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat