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19:30 Dundalk (AW) 2 Oct 2026 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Star Appeal Stakes (Listed)

  • 11 Runners
  • Class 1 Class
  • 7f Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Aachen

Declan McDonogh Aidan O'Brien

67SR 70RPR 15/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 1 run

Only one run on file — not enough to plot a trend. Single score: 40.

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 52% -52

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Declan McDonogh 115 wins from 1288 rides 9 WIN %
  • Aidan O'Brien 301 wins from 1361 runners 22 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 23 together 13WIN %
2

Duidin

Nathan Crosse Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

74SR 88RPR 87OR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+32 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 62 · Field avg 59 +3

Going Record

on Good
60%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 52% -19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Nathan Crosse 40 wins from 928 rides 4 WIN %
  • Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 62 wins from 498 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %
3

Equus Victor

Ben Coen Daniel James Murphy

63SR 82RPR 90OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 59 -19

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 52% -52

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Ben Coen 215 wins from 1904 rides 11 WIN %
  • Daniel James Murphy 31 wins from 321 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 17 together 6WIN %
4

Joga Bonito

W. J. Lee P. Twomey

105SR 101RPR 93OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 76 · Field avg 59 +17

Going Record

on Good
75%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 52% +15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • W. J. Lee 300 wins from 1934 rides 16 WIN %
  • P. Twomey 101 wins from 407 runners 25 WIN %
  • Pairing 86 wins from 315 together 27WIN %
5

One Number

J M Sheridan Joseph Patrick O'Brien

97SR 97RPR 97OR 10/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 59 -8

Going Record

on Good
40%
~ Mixed

1 win, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 52% +15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • J M Sheridan 133 wins from 1252 rides 11 WIN %
  • Joseph Patrick O'Brien 523 wins from 3240 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 48 wins from 269 together 18WIN %
6

Salt Lake

Donagh O'Connor Robson De Aguiar

103SR 95RPR 2/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Pace collision Wants the lead, but three or more rivals want it too. A contested lead burns the front-runner and sets the race up for the closers. pace_map

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 90 · Field avg 59 +31

Going Record

on Good
100%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 3 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 52% +48

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Donagh O'Connor 56 wins from 703 rides 8 WIN %
  • Robson De Aguiar 30 wins from 243 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 114 together 14WIN %
7

South Dakota

W. M. Lordan Aidan O'Brien

108SR 99RPR 98OR 10/3Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 54 · Field avg 59 -4

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 52% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • W. M. Lordan 156 wins from 983 rides 16 WIN %
  • Aidan O'Brien 301 wins from 1361 runners 22 WIN %
  • Pairing 91 wins from 428 together 21WIN %
8

Zoar

Gavin Ryan Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

69SR 84RPR 89OR 40/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-42 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 64 · Field avg 59 +5

Going Record

on Good
75%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 75% · Field avg 52% +23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Gavin Ryan 70 wins from 909 rides 8 WIN %
  • Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 62 wins from 498 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 32 wins from 272 together 12WIN %
9

Dee's Funny Girl

Oisin Orr Donnacha Aidan O'Brien

106SR 103RPR 99OR 6/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-9 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 57 · Field avg 59 -2

Going Record

on Good
75%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 52% +48

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Oisin Orr 230 wins from 1606 rides 14 WIN %
  • Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 62 wins from 498 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
10

Fighting Tears

G. F. Carroll A Oliver

69SR 90RPR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 59 -9

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 52% -19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • G. F. Carroll 148 wins from 1456 rides 10 WIN %
  • A Oliver 55 wins from 494 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 68 together 9WIN %
11

Nicely

Rowan Scott Kevin Philippart de Foy

97SR 99RPR 94OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 59 +4

Going Record

on Good
75%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 52% -52

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Rowan Scott 174 wins from 1515 rides 11 WIN %
  • Kevin Philippart de Foy 111 wins from 694 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 68 together 21WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
1 Flat